The league’s top scoring defense will be a 3.5-point favorite at home in Amway Center, when the Orlando Magic (4-7) go head-to-head with the San Antonio Spurs (5-6). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 212.5 points and it will air on Fox Sports – Southwest at 7 p.m. ET on Friday, November 15, 2019.
San Antonio Spurs at Orlando Magic Betting Odds
The last time the Magic played, they easily covered the 2.5-point spread against the Philadelphia 76ers, 112-97. The Spurs, on the other hand, were beat by the Minnesota Timberwolves, 129-114, and were not able to cover as 1.5-point underdogs. Both games finished over their projected point totals. The Orlando game went 2 points over the projected point total of 207, while the San Antonio game finished 13.5 points over the projected point total of 229.5.
Orlando dominated every stat category in the game. They had a great free throw rate of 0.302 (above their season average of 0.174) and a turnover percentage of 11.4 (better than their season average of 11.7). Philadelphia was 0.099 and 13.4, respectively, for those same stats. San Antonio, meanwhile, had a better effective field goal percentage (0.506 vs. 0.555). Aaron Gordon led the way for Orlando, finishing with 18 points, 13 rebounds and seven assists. Meanwhile, San Antonio rallied around DeMar DeRozan, who finished with 27 points and five rebounds.
This series was highly contested last year. Each won one of the two games played against each other last season. The Spurs won the most recent matchup 129-90. One of San Antonio’s biggest advantages was their ability to convert at the free throw line. They were 17-21 (81.0 percent), while the Magic were just 10-17 (58.8 percent). This will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams.
Of the Spurs’ 11 games, six have finished over the O/U total. San Antonio comes into the game with records of 5-6 straight up (SU) and 2-9 against the spread (ATS).
Vegas is known to set the total high when the Magic are involved, as 63.6 percent of their games have ended under the total. Further, Orlando owns records of 4-7 SU and 4-6-1 ATS.
Looking at effective field goal percentage, Orlando should have a significant advantage. The Magic defense ranks fifth in effective field goal percentage allowed (0.491), while the San Antonio offense is ranked 22nd in effective field goal percentage (0.510). Moreover, the Spurs rank second in offensive rebounding percentage (25.2 percent), while the Magic rank fourth in defensive rebounding percentage (80.9 percent).
San Antonio Spurs vs. Orlando Magic ATS Pick
NBA Pick: SU Winner – Spurs, ATS Winner – Spurs, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- The Spurs rank fifth in second chance points allowed per game (11.1) while the Magic rank sixth (11.2).
- Orlando ranks ninth in steals per game (8.2) while San Antonio ranks 28th (5.5).
- The Spurs rank third in rebounds per game (48.5) while the Magic rank 16th in rebounds allowed per game (46.2).
- Orlando ranks second in blocks per game (6.7) while San Antonio ranks 12th (5.4).
- Orlando ranks 17th in points off turnovers per game (17.0) while San Antonio ranks 26th (14.4).
- The Magic rank fourth in points allowed in the paint per game (43.1) while the Spurs rank 23rd (51.1).
- The Magic rank 19th in three pointers attempted per game (30.9) while the Spurs rank 28th (25.6).
- Orlando ranks fifth in assists allowed per game (21.7) while San Antonio ranks 19th (24.4).
- When holding opponents below 100 points, Orlando is 4-1.
- When reaching the century mark, the Magic are 2-2 and the Spurs are 5-4.
- Orlando is 3-3-1 ATS at home, while San Antonio is 1-3 ATS on the road.
- The total has gone under in 4 of the Magic’s 7 home games, while 2 of the Spurs’ 4 road games have gone over.
Bettings Trends:
- In their last five games, San Antonio and Orlando have both had 3 overs and 2 unders.
- The Magic are 3-2 ATS over their last five games, while the Spurs are 1-4.
- The Magic’s average margin of victory in their last five games has been 6.2, up from 0.3 for the season.
- During their last five games, the Spurs have scored an average of 111.8 points per game (0.6 below their season average) and allowed an average of 119.4 points per game (5.2 above their season average).
