The Memphis Grizzlies (4-7) will be 7-point underdogs at home in FedExForum when they meet the Utah Jazz (8-3). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 216 points and it will air on ESPN at 8 p.m. ET on Friday, November 15, 2019.
Utah Jazz vs. Memphis Grizzlies ATS Odds
The last time the Grizzlies took the court, they barely escaped the Charlotte Hornets, 119-117, despite being 2.5-point underdogs. The Jazz, on the other hand, defeated the Brooklyn Nets, 119-114, but failed to cover as 6.5-point favorites. Both games went 14 points over their projected point totals (222 for the Memphis game and 219 for the Utah game).
Utah played a nearly flawless game. They had a solid turnover percentage of 9.3 (better than their season average of 15.6) and a free throw rate of 0.293 (above their season average of 0.237). Brooklyn had marks of 13.7 and 0.233, respectively, for those same stats. The Grizzlies, meanwhile, had a solid offensive rebounding percentage of 28.2 (above their season average of 21.7) and had an effective field goal percentage of 0.628 (above their season average of 0.505). Ja Morant had a good performance for Memphis with 23 points and 11 assists. Utah was lifted by Rudy Gobert, who put up 18 points and 15 rebounds.
The Grizzlies edged out the Jazz in this series last year, taking three out of four games. In the last contest, Memphis won 114-104. The Grizzlies’ 9.4 turnover percentage was their biggest advantage over the Jazz, who had a rate of 11.5. This will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams.
Of the Jazz’s 11 games, eight have gone under the O/U total. Utah has a superb 8-3 straight up (SU) record, but they have difficulty covering the spread (4-7 against the spread (ATS)).
Just over half of Grizzlies games have also finished under the O/U total. Further, Memphis owns records of 4-7 SU and 4-7 ATS.
Memphis might have a difficult time finding the bottom of the net as they go head-to-head against one of the league’s best defenses. Utah ranks second in defensive efficiency while the Grizzlies rank 26th in offensive efficiency. Additionally, the Jazz rank second in free throw attempt (FTA) rate (0.243), while the Grizzlies rank 23rd in opponents’ FTA rate (0.230).
Jazz at Grizzlies Betting Pick
Free Pick: SU Winner – Jazz, ATS Winner – Jazz, O/U – Under
Betting Notes:
- The Jazz rank fifth in rebounds allowed per game (42.9) while the Grizzlies rank 12th (45.7).
- Memphis ranks first in points in the paint per game (54.9) while Utah ranks 24th (43.6).
- The Grizzlies rank seventh in blocks per game (5.9) while the Jazz rank 25th (3.7).
- Utah ranks 11th in points off turnovers allowed per game (17.5) while Memphis ranks 28th (22.5).
- Utah ranks fifth in steals allowed per game (7.2) while Memphis ranks 18th (8.3).
- The Grizzlies rank second in assists per game (26.9) while the Jazz rank 25th (20.0).
- The Grizzlies rank 12th in second chance points per game (13.5) while the Jazz rank 26th (8.6).
- Memphis ranks 21st in three pointers attempted per game (30.2) while Utah ranks 26th (29.0).
- Memphis ranks seventh in fast break points per game (15.5) while Utah ranks 27th (10.6).
- Utah is 4-1 when they hold opponents under 100 points.
- The Grizzlies are 4-5 when they reach the century mark, while the Jazz are 7-1.
- Memphis is 2-4 ATS at home, while Utah is 1-4 ATS on the road.
- The total has gone over in 3 of the Grizzlies’ 6 home games, while 4 of the Jazz’s 5 road games have gone under.
Bettings Trends:
- In their last five games, Utah and Memphis have both had 3 overs and 2 unders.
- The Grizzlies are 3-2 ATS over their last five games, while the Jazz are 2-3.
- During their last five games, the Grizzlies have scored an average of 115.4 points per game (5.4 above their season average) and allowed an average of 120.6 points per game (1.8 above their season average).
- The Jazz’s average margin of victory in their last five games has been 2.6, down from 5.0 for the season.
