The Dallas Mavericks (6-4) will travel to Madison Square Garden to meet the New York Knicks (2-9). The Mavericks opened as 7-point favorites. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 216.5 points and action starts at 8 p.m. ET on Thursday, November 14, 2019.
Dallas Mavericks vs. New York Knicks ATS Odds
Both teams failed to cover as underdogs in their last contest. The Mavericks (3-point underdogs) were defeated by the Boston Celtics, 116-106, while the Knicks (6.5-point underdogs) fell to the Chicago Bulls, 120-102. Both games went over their projected point totals. The Dallas game went 1 point over the projected point total of 221, while the New York game finished 10.5 points over the projected point total of 211.5.
Dallas had a turnover percentage of 5.6 (better than their season average of 12.3) while New York forced Chicago into a turnover percentage of 16.7 (above their season average of 11.9). RJ Barrett had a solid game for New York with 21 points, nine assists and six rebounds. Meanwhile, Dallas was lifted by Luka Doncic, who finished with 34 points, nine assists and six rebounds.
In their first matchup this year, Marcus Morris led the Knicks to a 106-102 victory. He produced 29 points and nine rebounds. New York covered as an 11-point underdog and the two teams combined for 208 points, which was under the projected point total of 215. New York’s rebounding was their biggest advantage. The Knicks had more offensive rebounds (14 vs. 7), defensive rebounds (42 vs. 40) and total rebounds (56 vs. 47).
Mavericks games tend to finish over the projected point total (70.0 percent). Dallas has a solid 6-4 straight up (SU) record, but they have a difficult time covering the spread (4-6 against the spread (ATS)).
Unlike Dallas, games featuring the Knicks have typically finished under the projected point total (72.7 percent). Additionally, New York owns records of 2-9 SU and 5-6 ATS.
New York figures to have an edge on the offensive glass in this showdown. The Knicks rank first in offensive rebounding percentage (25.5 percent), while Dallas ranks 16th in defensive rebounding percentage (77.5 percent). Moreover, the second-ranked offense of the Mavericks (offensive efficiency of 111.2) will face off against the 26th-ranked defense of the Knicks (defensive efficiency of 109.5).
Mavericks at Knicks ATS Pick
Prediction: SU Winner – Mavericks, ATS Winner – Knicks, O/U – Under
Betting Notes:
- New York ranks sixth in steals per game (8.8) while Dallas ranks 27th (5.5).
- The Knicks rank second in second chance points per game (15.4) while the Mavericks rank 14th in second chance points allowed per game (12.5).
- Dallas ranks fifth in rebounds per game (47.8) while New York ranks 15th (45.9).
- Dallas averages 12.1 fast break points per game, which ranks 20th in the league. New York ranks 24th in fast break points allowed per game (15.6).
- The Mavericks rank third in three pointers attempted per game (39.9) while the Knicks rank 21st (29.7).
- The Knicks rank fourth in blocks allowed per game (4.3) while the Mavericks rank eighth (4.6).
- Dallas ranks 16th in points in the paint per game (46.6) while New York ranks 28th (39.3).
- New York is 1-1 when they allow below 100 points.
- The Knicks are 2-5 when they score above 100 points, while the Mavericks are 6-4.
- New York is 1-3 ATS at home, while Dallas is 4-1 ATS on the road.
- The Mavericks have 4 overs and 1 under in 5 road games.
- The Knicks have gone under in all 4 of their home games.
Bettings Trends:
- The Mavericks are 2-3 ATS over their last five games, while the Knicks are 1-4.
- In their last five games, Dallas has 4 overs and 1 under, while New York has 3 unders and 2 overs.
- The Mavericks’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 4.6, up from 3.0 for the season.
- During their last five games, the Knicks have scored an average of 97.8 points per game (1.7 below their season average) and allowed an average of 113.0 points per game (2.7 above their season average).
