The Denver Nuggets (7-3) will be 7-point favorites at home in the Pepsi Center when they go head-to-head against the Brooklyn Nets (4-6). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 225.5 points and it will air on TNT at 10:30 p.m. ET on Thursday, November 14, 2019.
Brooklyn Nets vs. Denver Nuggets ATS Odds
Both teams were beaten in their last contest. The Nuggets (10-point favorites) were defeated by the Atlanta Hawks, 125-121, while the Nets (6.5-point underdogs) fell to the Utah Jazz, 119-114. Both games finished over their projected point totals. The Denver game finished 37 points over the projected point total of 209, while the Brooklyn game finished 14 points over the projected point total of 219.
Brooklyn had a better effective field goal percentage (0.517 vs. 0.500) while Denver had a turnover percentage of 2.6 (better than their season average of 12.7). Will Barton fueled Denver with 21 points and nine rebounds. Brooklyn, meanwhile, rallied around DeAndre Jordan, who contributed 15 points and 17 rebounds.
The Nets dominated this series last year, securing victories in both contests. In the most recent matchup, Brooklyn won 135-130. Brooklyn did a fantastic job of getting to and converting from the free throw line (24-33; 72.7 percent). Denver, on the other hand, had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (25.5 vs. 12.2). This will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams.
Of the Nets’ 10 games, six have finished over the O/U total. Brooklyn holds records of 4-6 straight up (SU) and 4-6 against the spread (ATS).
Contrary to Brooklyn, Nuggets games tend to finish under the O/U total (80.0 percent). Denver is 7-3 SU, but they have a hard time covering the spread (3-6-1 ATS).
Denver should be expected to protect the ball well in this contest. Denver ranks third in the NBA at avoiding errors (turnover percentage of 12.9 percent), while Brooklyn forces the fewest turnovers (11.6 percent). It will also be a battle of opposite tempos as the up-and-down Nets rank second in possessions per game, while the slower-paced Nuggets rank 22nd.
Nets vs. Nuggets Betting Pick
Free NBA Tip: SU Winner – Nets, ATS Winner – Nets, O/U – Under
Betting Notes:
- The Nets rank 13th in assists per game (23.5) while the Nuggets rank 21st in assists allowed per game (24.7).
- Denver ranks second in points off turnovers allowed per game (14.1) while Brooklyn ranks 28th (20.6).
- The Nets rank fifth in three pointers attempted per game (36.0) while the Nuggets rank 22nd (29.5).
- Brooklyn ranks second in points in the paint per game (54.2) while Denver ranks 19th (45.8).
- Brooklyn ranks third in rebounds per game (48.6) while Denver ranks 17th (45.5).
- The Nuggets rank sixth in steals allowed per game (7.1) while the Nets rank 27th (9.6).
- The Nets rank third in second chance points per game (15.1) while the Nuggets rank 17th (12.6).
- Brooklyn ranks 13th in blocks per game (5.4) while Denver ranks 17th in blocks allowed per game (5.7).
- Brooklyn ranks eighth in fast break points per game (15.5) while Denver ranks 27th (11.0).
- Denver is 5-0 when they hold opponents under 100 points.
- In games where they score over 100 points, the Nets are 4-6 and the Nuggets are 6-3.
- Denver is 1-4 ATS at home, while Brooklyn is 2-3 ATS on the road.
- The Nets have 3 overs, 1 under and 1 push in 5 road games.
- The Nuggets have 4 unders and 1 over in 5 home games.
Bettings Trends:
- The Nets are 3-2 ATS over their last five games, while the Nuggets are 1-3-1.
- In their last five games, Brooklyn has 3 overs, 1 under and 1 push, while Denver has 4 unders and 1 over.
- The Nets’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 4.2, up from 2.2 for the season.
- During their last five games, the Nuggets have scored an average of 104.2 points per game (0.9 below their season average) and allowed an average of 99.2 points per game (3.6 below their season average).
