The Dallas Mavericks (2-0) will be 1.5-point favorites at home in the American Airlines Center when they go head-to-head with the Portland Trail Blazers (1-1). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 222 points and it will air on Fox Sports – Southwest at 7 p.m. ET on Sunday, October 27, 2019.
Portland Trail Blazers vs. Dallas Mavericks Betting Odds
Both teams covered in their last game. The Mavericks (2-point underdogs) defeated the New Orleans Pelicans 123-116, while the Trail Blazers (1-point favorite) beat the Sacramento Kings 122-112. Both games finished over their projected point totals. The Dallas game finished 12 points over the projected point total of 227, while the Portland game finished 6.5 points over the projected point total of 227.5.
The Trail Blazers had a better effective field goal percentage (0.606 vs. 0.511) and had a better turnover percentage (14.5 vs. 14.7). The Mavericks, meanwhile, had a better free throw rate (0.204 vs. 0.112) and had a better turnover percentage (9.5 vs. 11.8). Dallas was lifted by Luka Doncic, who accumulated 25 points, 10 rebounds and 10 assists. This gave him his zeroth triple-double this season. Damian Lillard had a good game for Portland, contributing 35 points, five rebounds and five assists.
The Trail Blazers are 54-30 straight up (SU) and 46-35-7 against the spread (ATS) since last season. Games featuring Portland have had a tendency to finish under the projected point total since last season (55.7 percent).
The Mavericks, on the other hand, are 35-49 SU and 42-41-1 ATS since last season. Dallas’ games have gone under the O/U total 52.4 percent of the time over that same stretch.
The aggressive Dallas offense might be living from the foul line in this contest. Since last season, the Mavericks rank fourth in the league with a free throw attempt (FTA) rate of 0.218, while Portland has been among the NBA’s most foul-prone squads (giving up an 18th-ranked FTA rate of 0.202).
Portland Trail Blazers vs. Dallas Mavericks Pick
Free NBA Tip: SU Winner – Mavericks, ATS Winner – Trail Blazers, O/U – Under
Betting Notes (2018-Present):
- The Trail Blazers rank 27th in points off turnovers per game (14.9) while the Mavericks rank 28th (14.7).
- Portland ranks third in second chance points per game (15.1) while Dallas ranks 20th (12.9).
- The Trail Blazers rank 15th in blocks per game (5.0) while the Mavericks rank 25th (4.3).
- Portland ranks fourth in rebounds per game (47.5) while Dallas ranks 13th (45.4).
- Dallas ranks 23rd in assists per game (23.3) while Portland ranks 26th (22.4).
- The Trail Blazers rank fourth in three pointers allowed per game (30.0) while the Mavericks rank 19th (32.7).
- The Trail Blazers rank 24th in steals per game (6.7) while the Mavericks rank 27th (6.5).
- Portland ranks 15th in fast break points allowed per game (13.8) while Dallas ranks last (16.7).
- When holding opponents under 100 points, Portland is 19-2 and Dallas is 11-4.
- In games where they score more than 100 points, the Mavericks are 34-37 and the Trail Blazers are 59-29.
