The New York Knicks (10-10) will be at home in Madison Square Garden when they square off against the Miami Heat (10-10). Neither team is favored and the games Over/Under (O/U) opened at 201 points. Action begins at 7:30 p.m. ET on Wednesday, November 29, 2017, and it can be seen on MSG Network.
Miami Heat vs. New York Knicks Odds Preview
The Heat fell to the Cleveland Cavaliers in their last contest, 108-97. Miami’s Hassan Whiteside put up 11 points and 14 rebounds in the game. Cleveland did an excellent job of making free throws (17-23; 73.9 percent). Miami, meanwhile, held the Cavaliers to an offensive rebounding percentage of 12.8 (below their season average of 21.2).
In the Knicks last game, they were defeated by the Portland Trail Blazers, 103-91. Kristaps Porzingis was New York’s high scorer with 22 points on 6-for-16 shooting. Portland did a great job of making free throws (22-26; 84.6 percent). New York, on the other hand, held the Trail Blazers to an offensive rebounding percentage of 11.9 (below their season average of 25.2).
Miami figures to have the advantage on the defensive side of the ball. The Heat rank fifth in effective field goal percentage allowed (0.496), while New York is 15th in effective field goal percentage (0.515).
Of Miami’s 19 games with betting action, 10 have finished under the projected point total, while 11 of New York’s 20 games have finished under the projected point total. Both teams have respectable straight up (SU) records (10-10 for Miami; 10-10 for New York), but the Knicks have the edge against the spread (ATS). New York is 12-8 ATS, while the Heat are 7-10-2.
Courtney Lee has taken his game to another level over the last five games for New York, averaging 14.2 points, 4.0 assists and 1.4 steals per game.
This will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams. The Knicks won two out of three games played against each other last season. In the last contest, New York won 98-94. New York’s effective field goal percentage was its biggest strength over Miami. The Knicks had a rate of 0.512 while the Heat posted a mark of 0.458.
Miami Heat vs. New York Knicks Odds Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Knicks, ATS Winner – Knicks, O/U – Under
Betting Notes:
- The Heat rank third in assists allowed per game (19.1) while the Knicks rank 17th (22.8).
- Miami averages 5.0 blocks per game, which ranks 12th in the league. New York ranks 18th in blocks allowed per game (5.0).
- New York ranks third in points allowed in the paint per game (39.2) while Miami ranks 12th (42.9).
- Miami is 26th in the NBA with 8.0 fast break points per game while New York is 28th with 6.3 fast break points per game.
- On the road, Miami is 6-4 ATS with 6 unders, 3 overs and 1 push.
- At home, New York is 10-3 ATS with 7 overs and 6 unders.
- When allowing less than 100 points, New York is 4-0 and Miami is 7-3.
- The Heat are 7-4 when they score more than 100 points, while the Knicks are 10-4.
- The Knicks rank 18th in steals allowed per game (8.2) while the Heat rank 26th (8.8).
- Miami ranks first in three pointers allowed per game (24.9) while New York ranks 28th (33.6).
- The Knicks rank second in second chance points per game (15.3) while the Heat rank 26th (9.8).
- The Heat rank 20th in points off turnovers allowed per game (18.0) while the Knicks rank 26th (19.3).
- New York ranks first in rebounds allowed per game (40.3) while Miami ranks 20th (44.4).
Bettings Trends:
- New York is 3-2 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs in their last five games.
- Over their last five games, Miami is 3-2 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs.
- The Knicks’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 1.8, up from 0.7 for the season.
- During their last five games, the Heat have scored an average of 101.0 points per game (0.3 above their season average) and allowed an average of 103.2 points per game (0.9 above their season average).
