Domingo Santana and the Seattle Mariners will be taking on their division rival Houston Astros at Minute Maid Park in a Saturday showdown. The matchup can be viewed across the country on Fox and the game gets underway 8:15 p.m. ET.
Seattle Mariners at Houston Astros Odds
Bookmakers have Houston (-265) as the favorite over Seattle (+235). The total currently stands at 9 runs and gamblers can play the over or the under for -110. This game currently has a runline of Mariners +1.5 (+105) and Astros -1.5 (-125).
The Astros are 51-32 straight up (SU) and 43-39 against the spread (ATS). The team’s lost 1.5 units for moneyline bettors while gaining 1.1 units ATS. Houston has covered the spread only twice in its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven. The Mariners are 37-49 SU and have gone 43-42 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 6.0 units for moneyline bettors and 6.5 units ATS. Seattle has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven.
Houston games have an over/under record of 37-43-2 so far in 2019. Mariners games have gone over 56 times, gone under 24 times and pushed on five occasions.
Yusei Kikuchi is getting the start for the visiting Mariners. The left-handed Kikuchi is 4-5 with a 5.11 ERA and 63 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Astros this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.
The Astros are handing the ball to righty Justin Verlander (10-3, 2.67 ERA), who has 142 strikeouts and 22 walks as well as a WHIP of 0.75. Verlander is 1-0 with 18 strikeouts and a 2.92 ERA over two starts against Seattle this year.
Seattle’s pitching staff allowed 5.9 runs per game and its starters own a 5.41 ERA, 1.43 WHIP and 6.79 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 5.00, along with a WHIP of 1.43 and a K/9 of 9.01.
Mariners hitters have slashed .245/.327/.450 on their way to 5.2 runs scored per game this season, including 5.0 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).
Seattle’s hitters have been paced by outfielder Domingo Santana and catcher Omar Narvaez, who collectively have blasted 28 home runs. Santana is slashing .275/.345/.492 with 17 home runs, 60 RBIs and 47 runs scored. Narvaez (.291/.368/.467) is up to 11 homers, 29 RBIs and 39 runs scored.
For the home team, Houston’s pitching staff has given up 4.0 runs per game overall this year. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 3.84, a WHIP of 1.08 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 10.2. The bullpen has a 3.87 ERA, 1.19 WHIP and 9.6 K/9. In 28 games against divisional opponents, Astros starters have an ERA of 3.82 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.53.
The Houston hitters have produced 5.0 runs per outing, including 6.0 per game against divisional foes and 3.6 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .290/.328/.489 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.
Outfielders Michael Brantley and Josh Reddick have paced the Astros’ batters this year. Brantley is slashing .314/.371/.494 with 11 home runs, 43 RBIs and 38 runs scored, while Reddick’s line sits at .299/.337/.450 with 10 homers, 29 RBIs and 34 runs.
The Mariners have lost 0.1 units and are 33-28 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 39 of those games, compared to 18 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Astros have netted 7.7 units and are 14-9 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over has hit in eight of those games, compared to 14 that’ve gone under.
Mariners at Astros Free MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Astros, ATS Winner – Mariners, O/U – UNDER
Betting Trends
- The over has hit in four of Seattle’s last seven games.
- Seattle has posted 23.1 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 22.8 over its last five.
- The Mariners have hit 13 home runs in their last 10 games. The Astros have hit 17 over their last 10.
- The Mariners have an OPS of .777 this season and an OPS of .775 against right-handed pitchers. The Astros’ OPS stands at .816 overall and .790 versus righties.
