DJ LeMahieu and the surging New York Yankees will pay a visit to Boston to take on a divisional foe in the Red Sox at London Stadium. The matchup can be viewed across the country on Fox and the opening pitch is scheduled for 1:10 p.m. ET.
New York Yankees at Boston Red Sox Odds
Las Vegas has New York (-125) as the favorite over Boston (+115). You can play matchup’s total with current odds posted at -125 for over 10.5 runs and +105 for under 10.5. There’s a runline of Yankees -1.5 (+120) and Red Sox +1.5 (-140) for this matchup.
The Yankees are 52-28 SU and are 45-35 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 10.2 units for moneyline gamblers and 11.1 units ATS. New York has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the over has hit in five of those seven. The Red Sox, on the other hand, are 44-38 SU and 35-47 ATS. The team has lost 15.1 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 16.4 units ATS. Boston has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven outings and the over has cashed in five of those seven.
Red Sox games have a 45-34-3 over/under record thus far in 2019. The Yankees have also been a good over bet with a total record of 44-33-3.
The right-handed Masahiro Tanaka will get the start for the visiting Yankees. Tanaka is 5-5 with a 3.21 ERA and 85 strikeouts. He has yet to face Boston this year, but he did make four starts against the team in 2018, putting together a 1-0 record with a 7.58 ERA and 18 strikeouts.
The Red Sox are sending righty Rick Porcello (5-7, 4.52 ERA) to the mound. Porcello has 76 strikeouts and 29 walks to his name as well as a WHIP of 1.35. Porcello is 0-1 with five strikeouts and a 9.64 ERA in one start against New York this year.
New York’s pitching staff allowed 4.4 runs per game and its starters own a 4.13 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 8.88 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.01, along with a WHIP of 1.26 and a K/9 of 10.15.
The Yankees offense has slashed .263/.341/.460 on its way to 5.6 runs scored per game in 2019, including 6.3 runs per game against divisional foes and 6.6 per game over the team’s last five contests (4-1 SU).
Second baseman DJ LeMahieu and shortstop Gleyber Torres continue to lead New York’s hitters. LeMahieu is slashing .336/.385/.522 with 12 home runs, 54 RBIs and 58 runs scored. Torres is hitting .291 with 19 homers, 47 RBIs and 51 runs scored.
In the home-team dugout, Boston’s pitching staff has yielded 4.7 runs per game overall this season. Its starting pitching staff has a 4.54 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 9.6 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.97 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and 10.8 K/9. In 33 games against AL East opponents, Red Sox starters have an ERA of 4.18 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.52.
The Boston hitters are putting up 5.4 runs per outing, including 4.7 per game against divisional foes and 5.4 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .296/.360/.475 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that span.
The Red Sox offense has been led by third baseman Rafael Devers and shortstop Xander Bogaerts. Devers is slashing .322/.373/.524 with 12 home runs, 49 RBIs, 60 runs and eight steals, and the line for Bogaerts stands at .298/.389/.534 with 15 homers, 55 RBIs and 61 runs scored.
The Yankees have gained 12.4 units and are 35-25 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 34 of those games, compared to 24 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Red Sox have lost 4.3 units and are 28-32 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 33 of those games, compared to 25 that’ve gone under.
Yankees at Red Sox MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Yankees, ATS Winner – Yankees, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- The under has cashed in just two of New York’s last seven games.
- The Yankees have won 11 of their last 12 games SU.
- Boston has recorded 29.0 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 26.6 over its last five.
- The Yankees have hit 23 home runs in their last 10 games. The Red Sox have hit 10 over their last 10.
- The Yankees have an OPS of .802 this season and an OPS of .828 when facing right-handed pitchers. The Red Sox’ OPS sits at .794 overall and .810 against righties.
