The ice-cold New York Mets are trying to avoid losing their sixth in a row as they play host to the Atlanta Braves at Citi Field. SportsNet New York will showcase the matchup. The first pitch will be at 7:10 p.m. ET.
Atlanta Braves at New York Mets Odds
Vegas is listing New York (-125) as the favorite over Atlanta (+115). Bettors can wager on the game’s total with odds sitting at -110 for over 7.5 runs and -110 for under 7.5. The game’s most recent runline odds sit at -180 for picking the Braves +1.5 runs and +160 for the Mets -1.5.
The Mets are 37-45 straight up (SU) and 38-43 against the spread (ATS). The team has lost 14.0 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 11.4 units ATS. New York has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven. The Braves have gone 48-34 SU this year and are 40-41 against the spread. In total, the team’s accumulated 10.7 units for moneyline gamblers and 1.8 units ATS. Atlanta’s covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in six of those seven.
Mets games have an over/under record of 45-29-7 so far in 2019. The Braves have also been a decent over bet with a total record of 44-32-5.
Mike Soroka will get the start for the visiting Braves. The right-handed Soroka is 8-1 with a 2.07 ERA and 63 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with two strikeouts and a 4.50 ERA against New York this year.
The Mets are countering with Jacob deGrom (4-6, 3.25 ERA). deGrom has 121 strikeouts and 20 walks, along with a 1.09 WHIP. deGrom is 1-1 with 19 strikeouts and a 3.38 ERA over two starts against Atlanta this year.
As a unit, New York’s pitching staff has allowed 5.2 runs per game overall in 2019. Its starters have a 4.37 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and 9.1 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 5.65 ERA, 1.56 WHIP and 9.4 K/9. In 38 games against NL East opponents, Mets starters have an ERA of 4.56 and the bullpen’s ERA is 5.74.
New York’s hitters have put up 4.8 runs per contest, including 5.0 per game against divisional foes and 4.4 per game over their last five. The team has hit .275/.338/.506 over its last five contests and is 0-5 SU during that stretch.
Outfielder Jeff McNeil and first baseman Pete Alonso have led the Mets’ batters this year. McNeil is hitting .346/.411/.508 with six home runs, 30 RBIs and 34 runs scored, and Alonso is batting .277 with 27 homers, 61 RBIs and 52 runs.
In the other dugout, Atlanta’s pitching staff allowed 4.9 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.64 ERA, 1.37 WHIP and 7.95 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 3.78, along with a K/9 of 9.50.
Braves hitters have slashed .263/.340/.460 on their way to 5.4 runs scored per game this year, including 5.8 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).
Atlanta’s hitters have been paced by first baseman Freddie Freeman and outfielder Ronald Acuna Jr., who collectively have launched 41 home runs. Freeman is slashing .312/.396/.598 with 22 home runs, 63 RBIs and 61 runs scored, while Acuna Jr. is hitting .287/.372/.503 with 19 homers, 51 RBIs, 58 runs and 11 stolen bases.
The Braves have gained 5.6 units and are 31-32 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 32 of those games, compared to 27 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Mets have lost 11.3 units and are 28-34 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 35 of those games, compared to 22 which went under the total.
Braves at Mets MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Mets, ATS Winner – Braves, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- The under has hit in just one of New York’s last seven games.
- The Braves have hit 20 home runs in their last 10 games. The Mets have hit 21 over their last 10.
- The Braves have a team OPS of .800 this season and an OPS of .792 against right-handed pitchers. The Mets’ OPS sits at .762 overall and .743 versus righties.
- Atlanta has recorded 22.9 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 17.6 over its last five.
