The Washington Nationals will be taking on their division rival Miami Marlins in a Thursday night game. Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will broadcast the matchup and the game is scheduled to get going at 7:10 p.m. ET.
Washington Nationals at Miami Marlins Odds
Miami (+170) is the big home-team underdog against Washington (-180) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this night game at 7.5 runs (-105 for the over and -115 for the under). Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the current odds standing at -125 for the Nationals -1.5 runs and +105 for the Marlins +1.5 runs.
The Marlins are only 30-48 straight up (SU) and 38-39 against the spread (ATS). The team’s gained 1.3 units for moneyline bettors while earning 9.6 units ATS. Miami has covered the spread six times in its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The Nationals have gone 39-40 SU this year and are 40-38 against the spread. In total, the team’s lost 13.1 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 0.7 units ATS. Washington has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven.
Marlins games have an over/under record of 34-39-4 thus far in 2019. The Nationals have been a decent over bet with a total record of 39-33-6.
Right-hander Stephen Strasburg is getting the start for the visiting Nationals. Strasburg is 8-4 with a 3.79 ERA and 120 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with 11 strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA against Miami this year.
The Marlins are sending righty Sandy Alcantara (4-6, 3.51 ERA) to the mound. Alcantara has 64 strikeouts and 42 walks to his credit, along with a WHIP of 1.41. Alcantara is 0-1 with two strikeouts and a 7.20 ERA in one start against Washington this year.
Miami’s pitchers have yielded 4.5 runs per game overall in 2019 as a unit. The club’s starters have an ERA of 3.81, a WHIP of 1.24 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.2. The bullpen has a 5.05 ERA, 1.45 WHIP and 9.4 K/9. In 36 games against divisional foes, Marlins starters have an ERA of 4.71 and the bullpen’s ERA is 5.10.
The Miami offense is putting up 3.5 runs per contest, including 3.4 per game against divisional foes and 3.8 per game over its last five. The team has hit .240/.298/.383 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.
Third baseman Brian Anderson and first baseman Miguel Rojas have paced the Marlins’ batters this year. Anderson is hitting .251/.335/.409 with 10 home runs, 34 RBIs and 28 runs scored, and the line for Rojas stands at .276/.342/.337 with 72 hits, 21 RBIs and 25 runs scored.
In the other dugout, Washington’s pitching staff allowed 4.8 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.74 ERA, 1.20 WHIP and 9.81 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 6.36, along with a WHIP of 1.20.
Nationals hitters have slashed .253/.329/.433 on their way to 5.0 runs scored per game this season, including 5.7 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).
Outfielders Adam Eaton and Juan Soto have paced Washington’s hitters. Eaton is hitting .274/.363/.385 with six home runs, 19 RBIs and 46 runs scored, while Soto is hitting .302/.400/.525 with 12 homers, 50 RBIs and 45 runs scored.
The Nationals have lost 7.7 units and are 31-27 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in 29 of those games, as opposed to 26 that’ve gone under against righties. On the other hand, the Marlins have netted 1.3 units and are 27-31 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in 23 of those games, compared to 32 that went under the total.
Nationals vs. Marlins Free MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Nationals, ATS Winner – Nationals, O/U – UNDER
Betting Trends
- The under has hit in four of Miami’s last seven games.
- The Nationals have a total OPS of .761 this season and an OPS of .729 against right-handed pitchers. The Marlins’ OPS stands at .649 overall and .649 against righties.
- Washington has recorded 24.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 23.4 over its last five.
- The Nationals have hit 18 home runs in their last 10 games. The Marlins have hit 10 over their last 10.
