Seattle Mariners at Milwaukee Brewers Free Pick

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Domingo Santana and the surging Seattle Mariners will be taking the field versus the Milwaukee Brewers at Miller Park in a Wednesday night game. This interleague matchup begins at 8:10 p.m. ET and fans can catch the game on both RTNW and FSWI.

Seattle Mariners at Milwaukee Brewers Odds

The Brewers are 42-37 straight up (SU) and 37-41 against the spread (ATS). The team’s gained 0.5 units for moneyline bettors while gaining 7.8 units ATS. The Mariners have gone 36-47 SU this year and are 41-41 ATS. In total, the club has lost 8.4 units for moneyline gamblers and 7.3 units ATS.

Milwaukee games have an over/under record of 35-40-3 so far in 2019. The Mariners have been a solid over bet with a total record of 55-22-5.

Wade LeBlanc is getting the nod for the visiting Mariners. The left-handed LeBlanc (4-2, 5.44 ERA) has recorded 41 strikeouts in 51.1 innings so far. He has yet to face the Brewers this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.

The Brewers will put the ball in the right hand of Adrian Houser (2-1, 2.27 ERA, 1.20 WHIP), who has 36 punchouts and 12 walks this season. Houser did not register a start against the Mariners in 2018.

Seattle’s pitchers have allowed 6.0 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 5.43 ERA, 1.43 WHIP and 6.79 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 5.18, along with a WHIP of 1.43 and a K/9 of 9.10.

The Mariners offense has slashed .247/.329/.455 on its way to 5.3 runs scored per game this season, including 6.0 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 8.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (4-1 SU).

Seattle’s offense has been led by outfielder Domingo Santana and catcher Omar Narvaez. Santana is slashing .283/.350/.505 with 17 home runs, 60 RBIs and 46 runs scored, while Narvaez (.294/.373/.475) has produced 11 homers, 28 RBIs and 39 runs scored.

In the other dugout, Milwaukee’s pitching staff has given up 5.1 runs per game overall in 2019. The club’s starters have an ERA of 5.06, a WHIP of 1.44 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.9. The bullpen has a 4.31 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and 10.0 K/9.

The Milwaukee offense is putting up 5.0 runs per contest, including 4.4 per game over its last 10 games and 4.8 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .235/.339/.440 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that span.

The Brewers’ hitters have been led by outfielder Christian Yelich and second baseman Mike Moustakas. Yelich is hitting .336/.428/.731 with 29 home runs, 63 RBIs, 63 runs and 17 stolen bases, and Moustakas has produced a line of .280/.357/.578 with 22 homers, 48 RBIs and 49 runs.

The Mariners have lost 2.6 units and are 31-27 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in 38 of those games, compared to 16 that’ve gone under against righty starters. On the other hand, the Brewers have lost 3.9 units and are 11-12 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over has cashed in seven of those games, compared to 15 that went under the total.

Mariners at Brewers Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Brewers, ATS Winner – Mariners, O/U – UNDER

Betting Notes

  • The over has cashed in five of Seattle’s last seven outings.
  • The Mariners have won five of their last six games SU.
  • Seattle has posted 24.8 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 29.6 over its last five.
  • The Mariners have hit 14 home runs in their last 10 games, including nine over their last five.
  • The Mariners have a total OPS of .785 this season and an OPS of .779 against right-handed pitchers. The Brewers’ OPS stands at .783 overall and .781 against righties.