Trey Mancini and the Baltimore Orioles will take on the Seattle Mariners at T-Mobile Park in a Sunday showdown. This AL matchup gets going at 4:10 p.m. ET and fans can watch the game on RTNW and MAS2.
Baltimore Orioles at Seattle Mariners Odds
Bookmakers have Seattle (-165) as the favorite over Baltimore (+155). You can play matchup’s total with current odds sitting at -110 for over 9.5 runs and -110 for under 9.5. There’s a runline of Orioles +1.5 (-140) and Mariners -1.5 (+120) for this matchup.
The Mariners are 40-40 against the spread (ATS)despite being only 34-47 straight up (SU). The team’s lost 7.7 units for moneyline bettors and 7.5 units ATS. The Orioles have gone 22-55 SU this year and are 31-45 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 20.1 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 19.3 units ATS.
Seattle games have an over/under record of 53-22-5 so far in 2019. Baltimore has an over/under record of 37-35-4.
The right-handed Gabriel Ynoa is projected to start for Baltimore. Ynoa is 0-4 with a 5.65 ERA and 31 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Mariners this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.
The Mariners will send lefty Yusei Kikuchi (3-5, 5.15 ERA) to the mound. Kikuchi has 60 strikeouts and 24 walks to his name as well as a 1.48 WHIP. Kikuchi did not pitch in the majors last season.
Baltimore’s pitching staff allowed 6.2 runs per game and its starters own a 5.45 ERA, 1.44 WHIP and 6.99 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 6.31, along with a WHIP of 1.44.
Orioles hitters have slashed .237/.300/.393 on their way to 4.0 runs scored per game in 2019, including 3.9 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (1-4 SU).
Baltimore’s offensive production has been sparked by right fielder Trey Mancini and second baseman Jonathan Villar. Mancini is hitting .304/.361/.554 with 16 home runs, 35 RBIs and 50 runs scored. Villar has a .249 average with nine homers, 31 RBIs, 45 runs and 15 stolen bases.
In the home-team dugout, Seattle’s pitching staff has yielded 6.1 runs per game overall in 2019. The team’s starting pitching staff has a 5.47 ERA, 1.43 WHIP and 6.8 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 5.29 ERA, 1.51 WHIP and 9.0 K/9.
The Seattle hitters have put up 5.2 runs per contest, including 5.3 per game over its last 10 games and 5.4 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .265/.349/.488 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.
Left fielder Domingo Santana and catcher Omar Narvaez have paced the Mariners’ batters this year. Santana is hitting .283/.349/.508 with 17 home runs, 58 RBIs and 44 runs scored, and Narvaez’s line sits at .294/.372/.481 with 11 homers, 27 RBIs and 36 runs scored.
The Orioles have lost 7.0 units and are 10-19 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has cashed in 14 of those games, compared to 13 that’ve gone under against left-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Mariners have lost 1.9 units and are 30-26 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 36 of those games, compared to 16 that’ve gone under.
Orioles vs. Mariners Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Mariners, ATS Winner – Orioles, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- The under has hit in just two of Baltimore’s last seven games.
- Seattle has posted 22.5 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 23.4 over its last five.
- The Orioles have hit seven home runs in their last 10 games. The Mariners have hit 13 over their last 10.
- The Orioles have a total OPS of .693 this season and an OPS of .709 when facing left-handed pitchers. The Mariners’ OPS sits at .779 overall and .792 against lefties.