The Cincinnati Reds will do battle against their divisional rival Milwaukee Brewers in a Sunday showdown. Fox Sports Ohio is in line to broadcast the matchup and the opening pitch is scheduled for 2:10 p.m. ET.
Cincinnati Reds at Milwaukee Brewers Odds
Cincinnati (+165) is the underdog to Milwaukee (-175) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this day game at 9 runs (-115 for the over and -105 for the under). Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the most recent runline odds standing at Reds +1.5 runs (-135) and Brewers -1.5 runs (+115).
The Reds have gone 36-39 SU this year and are 42-32 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 0.9 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 5.3 units ATS. Cincinnati has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven. The Brewers, on the other hand, are 41-36 SU and 36-40 ATS. They’ve lost 1.5 units for moneyline bettors and 7.8 units ATS. Milwaukee has covered the spread only once in its last seven games and the under has hit in three of those seven.
Brewers games have an over/under record of 33-40-3 so far in 2019. Cincinnati has also been a strong under bet with a total record of 25-47-2.
Anthony DeSclafani will get the start for the visiting Reds. The right-handed DeSclafani is 4-3 with a 4.22 ERA and 68 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with eight strikeouts and a 1.80 ERA against Milwaukee this year.
The Brewers are turning to Brandon Woodruff (8-2, 4.02 ERA). Woodruff has 102 strikeouts and 24 walks, along with a 1.17 WHIP. Woodruff has yet to face the Reds this year and did not record a start against them in 2018.
As a unit, Milwaukee’s pitching staff has given up 5.0 runs per game overall this year. Its starters have an ERA of 5.04, a WHIP of 1.44 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.8. The bullpen has a 4.30 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 10.1 K/9. In 31 divisional games, Brewers starters have an ERA of 5.92 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.16.
The Milwaukee offense has put up 5.0 runs per contest, including 5.5 per game against divisional foes and 4.4 per game over its last five. The team has hit .208/.330/.396 over its last five games and is 1-4 SU during that stretch.
The Brewers’ hitters have been led by outfielders Christian Yelich and Lorenzo Cain. Yelich is slashing .345/.439/.751 with 29 home runs, 62 RBIs, 62 runs and 17 steals, and Cain’s line is .253/.314/.357 with four homers, 28 RBIs, 46 runs and 10 stolen bases.
In the other dugout, Cincinnati’s pitchers have allowed 3.7 runs per game and its starters own a 3.66 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 9.65 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 3.39, along with a WHIP of 1.25 and a K/9 of 9.82.
The Reds offense has slashed .234/.309/.411 on its way to 4.4 runs scored per game this year, including 4.7 runs per game against divisional foes and 6.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (4-1 SU).
Cincinnati’s offensive production has been fueled by shortstop Jose Iglesias and third baseman Eugenio Suarez. Iglesias is slashing .297/.336/.424 with five home runs, 30 RBIs and 31 runs scored, while Suarez is hitting .245/.324/.466 with 16 homers, 45 RBIs and 37 runs scored.
The Reds have gained 0.7 units and are 30-26 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in 19 of those games, as opposed to 35 that’ve hit the under against righties. On the other hand, the Brewers have netted 2.4 units and are 25-28 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s cashed in 26 of those games, compared to 25 that went under.
Reds vs. Brewers MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Brewers, ATS Winner – Reds, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- The over has hit in just two of Cincinnati’s last seven outings.
- The Reds have a team OPS of .720 this season and an OPS of .703 against right-handed pitchers. The Brewers’ OPS sits at .782 overall and .782 versus righties.
- Milwaukee has recorded 19.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 17.6 over its last five.
- The Reds have hit 19 home runs in their last 10 games, including 10 over their last five.
