Nicholas Castellanos and the struggling Detroit Tigers will square off against their divisional rival Cleveland Indians at Progressive Field in a Sunday showdown. Fox Sports Detroit will televise the action and the game will get going at 1:10 p.m. ET.
Detroit Tigers at Cleveland Indians Odds
Las Vegas has Detroit (+175) as the underdog to Cleveland (-185). You can play game’s total with current odds posted at -125 for over 9 runs and +105 for under 9. This game currently has a runline of Tigers +1.5 (-125) and Indians -1.5 (+105).
The Indians are 41-35 straight up (SU) and 35-40 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 5.3 units for moneyline bettors and 5.6 units ATS. Cleveland has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in three of those seven. The Tigers have gone 26-46 SU this year and are 32-39 ATS. Overall, the club has lost 9.1 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 9.8 units ATS. Detroit is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the over has cashed in four of those seven.
Indians games have an over/under record of 32-41-2 so far in 2019. Detroit has an over/under record of 32-34-5.
Daniel Norris will get the start for the visiting Tigers. The left-handed Norris (2-5, 4.40 ERA) has recorded 58 strikeouts in 73.2 innings so far. He has yet to face the Indians this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.
The Indians are handing the ball to Zach Plesac (2-2, 2.56 ERA), who’s got 26 strikeouts and 10 walks as well as a WHIP of 0.98. Plesac did not pitch in the majors last season.
Detroit’s pitching staff allowed 5.4 runs per game and its starters own a 4.70 ERA, 1.37 WHIP and 8.34 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 5.17, along with a WHIP of 1.37 and a K-per-9 of 7.80.
Tigers hitters have slashed .230/.294/.378 on their way to 3.5 runs scored per game in 2019, including 3.7 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).
Detroit’s hitters have been led by Nicholas Castellanos and Miguel Cabrera. Castellanos is hitting .268/.326/.450 with seven home runs, 26 RBIs and 43 runs scored. Cabrera (.295/.357/.389) has produced four homers, 30 RBIs and 17 runs scored.
In the home-team dugout, Cleveland’s pitchers have given up 4.1 runs per game overall this season. The team’s starters have a 4.22 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 9.8 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.21 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 9.4 K/9. In 29 games against AL Central foes, Indians starters have an ERA of 4.25 and the bullpen’s ERA is 2.64.
The Cleveland hitters have put up 4.4 runs per outing, including 4.1 per game against divisional foes and 6.2 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .290/.362/.550 over its last five games and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.
First baseman Carlos Santana and shortstop Francisco Lindor have led the Indians’ batters this year. Santana is slashing .292/.415/.532 with 16 home runs, 46 RBIs and 51 runs scored, and Lindor’s line is .287/.353/.500 with 12 homers, 26 RBIs, 37 runs and 10 stolen bases.
The Indians have gained 4.1 units and are 13-11 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over has hit in 13 of those games, compared to 11 that’ve gone under against left-handed starting pitchers.
Tigers vs. Indians MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Indians, ATS Winner – Tigers, O/U – UNDER
Betting Trends
- Detroit has recorded 16 extra-base hits over its last five outings. Cleveland has 19 XBH over its last five.
- The Tigers have lost seven of their last eight games SU while the Indians have won four of their last five.
- Cleveland has posted 26.6 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 25.8 over its last five.
- The Tigers have hit eight home runs in their last 10 games. The Indians have hit 17 over their last 10.
