New York Mets at Chicago Cubs Free Pick

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Jeff McNeil and the New York Mets are preparing to take the field against the Chicago Cubs at Wrigley Field in a Sunday matinee. This NL matchup will get going at 2:20 p.m. ET and Pix11 is in line to showcase the game.

New York Mets at Chicago Cubs Odds

The Cubs are 41-35 straight up (SU) and 37-38 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 0.8 units for moneyline bettors and 1.8 units ATS. The Mets, on the other hand, have gone 37-40 SU this year and are 36-40 ATS. Overall, the club has lost 11.2 units for moneyline bettors and 9.1 units ATS.

Cubs games have a 39-32-4 over/under record so far in 2019. Mets games have gone over 42 times, gone under 28 times and pushed on six occasions.

Right-hander Jacob deGrom is the probable starter for the visiting Mets. deGrom is 4-6 with a 3.26 ERA and 112 strikeouts. This will be his first outing against Chicago this year. He did make two starts against the team in 2018, posting a 0-0 record with a 1.20 ERA and 23 strikeouts.

The Cubs are going with lefty Cole Hamels (6-2, 2.85 ERA), who’s got 91 punchouts and 32 walks as well as a 1.18 WHIP. Hamels only made one start against the Mets in 2018 (0-0, 0.00 ERA and eight strikeouts across five innings).

New York’s pitchers have allowed 5.0 runs per game and its starters own a 4.32 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 9.08 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 5.24, along with a K-per-9 of 9.36.

The Mets offense has slashed .252/.327/.429 on its way to 4.8 runs scored per game in 2019, including 5.4 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 6.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).

New York’s offensive production has been fueled by left fielder Jeff McNeil and first baseman Pete Alonso. McNeil is hitting .342/.407/.494 with five home runs, 27 RBIs and 32 runs scored, while Alonso has a .274 average with 26 homers, 60 RBIs and 49 runs scored.

For the home team, Chicago’s pitchers have yielded 4.3 runs per game overall in 2019. Its starters have a 3.88 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 8.4 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.00 ERA, 1.41 WHIP and 9.1 K/9.

The Chicago offense has put up 5.1 runs per contest, including 4.1 per game over its last 10 games and 4.2 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .226/.297/.396 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

The Cubs’ offense has been led by shortstop Javier Baez and third baseman Kris Bryant. Baez is slashing .281/.321/.542 with 18 home runs, 48 RBIs and 49 runs scored, and Bryant’s line is .285/.394/.536 with 15 homers, 39 RBIs and 57 runs.

The Mets have lost 2.8 units and are 9-8 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in nine of those games, as opposed to seven that’ve hit the under against lefty starters. On the other hand, the Cubs have netted 1.1 units and are 31-29 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in 31 of those games, compared to 27 that went under.

Mets vs. Cubs MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Cubs, ATS Winner – Cubs, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The over has hit in three of Chicago’s last seven games.
  • The New York defense has coughed up nine errors over the last 10 games, compared to only four errors for Chicago over its last 10.
  • The Mets have hit 15 home runs in their last 10 games, including 10 over their last five.
  • The Mets have a total OPS of .757 this season, including an OPS of .818 against left-handed pitchers. The Cubs’ OPS sits at .783 overall and .725 against lefties.