Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Indians Betting Preview

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The Cleveland Indians will do battle against the Detroit Tigers at Progressive Field. The matchup will be televised across the country on Fox Sports One. The game gets underway 4:10 p.m. ET.

Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Indians Odds

The Tigers are 26-45 SU and have gone 31-39 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 8.1 units for moneyline gamblers and 10.8 units ATS. Detroit is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone over in three of those seven. The Indians, on the other hand, are 40-35 SU and 35-39 ATS. They’ve lost 6.3 units for moneyline bettors and 4.6 units ATS. Cleveland has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the under has cashed in three of those seven.

Cleveland games have a 31-41-2 over/under record thus far in 2019. Detroit has an over/under record of 31-34-5.

Spencer Turnbull is getting the start for the visiting Tigers. The right-handed Turnbull (3-6, 3.27 ERA) has recorded 77 strikeouts in 82.2 innings so far. He’s 0-2 with eight strikeouts and a 9.00 ERA against Cleveland this year (two starts).

The Indians are sending Aaron Civale to the mound. This game represents the first MLB start of the year for the right-handed Civale.

Cleveland’s pitchers have given up 4.2 runs per game overall this year as a unit. The team’s starting pitching staff has a 4.28 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 9.8 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.25 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 9.4 K/9. In 28 games against divisional opponents, Indians starters have an ERA of 4.41 and the bullpen’s ERA is 2.75.

The Cleveland hitters are putting up 4.4 runs per outing, including 4.2 per game against divisional foes and 6.2 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .291/.351/.566 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.

First baseman Carlos Santana and shortstop Francisco Lindor have led the way for the Indians’ hitters this year. Santana is slashing .295/.417/.538 with 16 home runs, 46 RBIs and 51 runs scored, while Lindor is batting .292 with 12 homers, 26 RBIs, 37 runs and 10 stolen bases.

In the visiting dugout, Detroit’s pitching staff allowed 5.5 runs per game and its starters own a 4.71 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and 8.35 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 5.23, along with a WHIP of 1.36.

The Tigers offense has slashed .231/.294/.381 on its way to 3.6 runs scored per game this year, including 3.8 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (1-4 SU).

Nicholas Castellanos and Miguel Cabrera continue to lead Detroit’s offense. Castellanos is slashing .271/.327/.455 with seven home runs, 26 RBIs and 43 runs scored. Cabrera is hitting .295/.354/.390 with four homers, 30 RBIs and 17 runs scored.

The Tigers have lost 11.2 units and are 23-35 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 23 of those games, compared to 31 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Indians have lost 9.4 units and are 22-29 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 19 of those games, compared to 30 that’ve gone under.

Tigers vs. Indians Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Indians, ATS Winner – Tigers, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • Detroit has recorded 17 extra-base hits over its last five contests. Cleveland has 20 XBH over its last five.
  • The Tigers have hit eight home runs in their last 10 games. The Indians have hit 18 over their last 10.
  • The Tigers have a team OPS of .675 this season and an OPS of .663 against right-handed pitchers. The Indians’ OPS sits at .723 overall and .730 versus righties.
  • Detroit has posted 17.8 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 19.6 over its last five.
  • The Tigers have lost six of their last seven games SU while the Indians have won three of their last four.