Jeff McNeil and the New York Mets will be taking the field against the Chicago Cubs at Wrigley Field in a Saturday showdown. Pix11 will televise this NL matchup and the first pitch is scheduled for 2:20 p.m. ET.
New York Mets vs. Chicago Cubs Odds
The Mets have gone 36-40 SU this year and are 35-40 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 12.8 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 10.1 units ATS. New York has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the over has hit in five of those seven. The Cubs, on the other hand, are 41-34 SU and 37-37 ATS. They’ve gained 0.9 units for bettors taking the moneyline while gaining 0.8 units ATS. Chicago has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in three of those seven.
Chicago games have had an over/under record of 38-32-4 so far in 2019. The Mets have also been a good over bet with a total record of 41-28-6.
Right-hander Zack Wheeler is projected to start for New York. Wheeler (5-5, 4.94 ERA) has racked up 103 strikeouts in 94.2 innings so far. He has yet to face the Cubs this year and only made one start against them in 2018 (0-0, 3.00 ERA and four strikeouts over six innings).
The Cubs will turn to lefty Jose Quintana (4-6, 3.87 ERA), who has 72 strikeouts and 27 walks as well as a WHIP of 1.34. Quintana only made one start against the Mets in 2018 (1-0, 0.00 ERA and six strikeouts across six innings).
New York’s pitchers have allowed 5.1 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.37 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and 9.12 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 5.28, along with a WHIP of 1.28.
Mets hitters have slashed .251/.327/.426 on their way to 4.7 runs scored per game this season, including 5.4 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).
New York’s hitters have been led by left fielder Jeff McNeil and first baseman Pete Alonso. McNeil is slashing .341/.407/.491 with five home runs, 24 RBIs and 32 runs scored, while Alonso is hitting .271 with 25 homers, 59 RBIs and 47 runs scored.
For the home team, Chicago’s pitchers have given up 4.2 runs per game overall in 2019. The club’s starters have a 3.76 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 8.5 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.08 ERA, 1.41 WHIP and 9.2 K/9.
Chicago’s offense is putting up 5.1 runs per contest, including 4.2 per game over its last 10 games and 4.2 per game over its last five. The team has hit .241/.297/.401 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.
The Cubs’ hitters have been led by shortstop Javier Baez and third baseman Kris Bryant. Baez is hitting .283/.323/.545 with 18 home runs, 48 RBIs and 49 runs scored, and Bryant’s line sits at .284/.395/.538 with 15 homers, 39 RBIs and 57 runs.
The Mets have lost 2.8 units and are 9-8 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has hit in nine of those games, compared to seven that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Cubs have netted 1.1 units and are 31-29 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 31 of those games, compared to 27 that’ve cashed the under.
Mets at Cubs Free Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Cubs, ATS Winner – Mets, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- The under has cashed in just two of New York’s last seven games.
- Chicago has recorded 19.6 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 19.8 over its last five.
- The Mets have hit 15 home runs in their last 10 games, including eight over their last five.
- The Mets have a team OPS of .753 this season and an OPS of .801 when facing left-handed pitchers. The Cubs’ OPS sits at .786 overall and .725 against southpaws.
