The Boston Red Sox are playing host to their AL East rival Toronto Blue Jays at Fenway Park. The first pitch is scheduled for 4:05 p.m. ET and New England Sports Network will showcase the matchup.
Toronto Blue Jays at Boston Red Sox Odds
The Red Sox are 42-35 straight up (SU) and 33-43 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 11.1 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 13.8 units ATS. Boston has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total went over in four of those seven. The Blue Jays have gone 27-49 SU this year and are 33-42 against the spread. In total, the club has lost 16.8 units for moneyline bettors and 15.8 units ATS. Toronto has covered the spread just twice over its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven.
Red Sox games have a 41-32-3 over/under record thus far in 2019. Blue Jays games have gone over 36 times, gone under 36 times and pushed on three occasions.
Derek Law will get the start for the Blue Jays. The right-handed Law is 0-1 with a 5.16 ERA and 26 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with two strikeouts and a 2.45 ERA against Boston this year.
The Red Sox are putting the ball in the hands of lefty Brian Johnson (1-1, 10.00 ERA), who has nine punchouts and six walks, along with a WHIP of 2.67. Johnson has yet to face the Blue Jays this year, but he made two starts against them in 2018, putting together a 1-1 record with an 8.49 ERA.
As a unit, Boston’s pitching staff has yielded 4.6 runs per game overall this season. Its starters have a 4.49 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 9.7 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.84 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 10.5 K/9. In 31 divisional games, Red Sox starters have an ERA of 4.18 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.18.
Boston’s offense has put up 5.4 runs per contest, including 4.7 per game against divisional foes and 5.8 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .296/.359/.454 over its last five games and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.
The Red Sox offense has been led by third baseman Rafael Devers and shortstop Xander Bogaerts. Devers is slashing .310/.362/.505 with 12 home runs, 48 RBIs, 54 runs and eight stolen bases, while Bogaerts is hitting .299 with 14 homers, 50 RBIs and 59 runs scored.
In the other dugout, Toronto’s pitching staff allowed 5.2 runs per game and its starters own a 5.13 ERA, 1.50 WHIP and 7.40 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.48, along with a K/9 of 9.46.
The Blue Jays offense has slashed .224/.293/.390 on its way to 4.0 runs scored per game this year, including 4.9 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (1-4 SU).
Toronto’s offense has been led by Freddy Galvis and Randal Grichuk. Galvis is slashing .261/.297/.423 with 10 home runs, 32 RBIs and 32 runs scored, while Grichuk (.228/.287/.425) has produced 14 homers, 31 RBIs and 37 runs scored.
The Blue Jays have gained 0.8 units and are 12-13 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 11 of those games, as opposed to 13 that’ve gone under against lefties. On the other hand, the Red Sox have lost 0.3 units and are 26-28 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 29 of those games, as opposed to 23 that’ve gone under.
Blue Jays at Red Sox Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Red Sox, ATS Winner – Blue Jays, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- Toronto has logged 16 extra-base hits over its last five contests. Boston has 20 XBH over its last five.
- The Blue Jays have hit 20 home runs in their last 10 games, including 11 over their last five.
- The Blue Jays have a total OPS of .683 this season, including an OPS of .703 against left-handed pitchers. The Red Sox’ OPS stands at .792 overall and .725 against lefties.
- Toronto has posted 24.6 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 20.8 over its last five.
- The Red Sox have won eight of their last nine games SU.
