The Chicago Cubs are facing off against the New York Mets at Wrigley Field. The opening pitch is scheduled for 8:05 p.m. ET and SportsNet New York will be showing this NL showdown.
New York Mets vs. Chicago Cubs Odds
The Mets have gone 35-39 SU this year and are 35-38 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 10.8 units for moneyline bettors and 6.8 units ATS. New York is 3-5 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone over in all seven of them. The Cubs, on the other hand, are 40-33 SU and 35-37 ATS. The team has lost 1.1 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 3.5 units ATS. Chicago has a 3-4 ATS record over its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.
Chicago games have an over/under record of 36-32-4 thus far in 2019. The Mets have been a good over bet with a total record of 40-27-6.
The right-handed Walker Lockett is projected to start for New York. Lockett has yet to pitch in the majors this year.
The Cubs are countering with Tyler Chatwood (3-1, 3.60 ERA). Chatwood has 29 strikeouts and 21 walks, along with a 1.46 WHIP. Chatwood only made one start against the Mets in 2018 (0-0, 3.38 ERA and three strikeouts across 5.1 innings).
Chicago’s pitching staff has given up 4.2 runs per game overall this season as a unit. Its starters have an ERA of 3.72, a WHIP of 1.26 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.5. The bullpen has a 4.14 ERA, 1.43 WHIP and 9.1 K/9.
The Chicago offense is putting up 5.1 runs per outing, including 4.1 per game over its last 10 games and 3.0 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .224/.260/.382 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.
Shortstop Javier Baez and third baseman Kris Bryant have led the Cubs’ batters this year. Baez is slashing .283/.321/.534 with 17 home runs, 46 RBIs and 46 runs scored, and Bryant is hitting .281 with 15 homers, 38 RBIs and 56 runs.
In the other dugout, New York’s pitching staff allowed 5.1 runs per game and its starters own a 4.27 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 9.16 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 5.46, along with a WHIP of 1.27 and a K-per-9 of 9.30.
The Mets offense has slashed .252/.327/.426 on its way to 4.7 runs scored per game this season, including 5.6 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).
Outfielder Jeff McNeil and first baseman Pete Alonso continue to lead New York’s offense. McNeil is slashing .336/.406/.480 with four home runs, 21 RBIs and 30 runs scored, while Alonso is hitting .271/.357/.617 with 24 homers, 57 RBIs and 46 runs scored.
The Mets have lost 8.9 units and are 26-31 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 31 of those games, compared to 21 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Cubs have lost 0.8 units and are 29-29 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 29 of those games, compared to 27 that’ve gone under.
Mets at Cubs Free MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Cubs, ATS Winner – Mets, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- New York has logged 21 extra-base hits over its last five games. Chicago has 12 XBH over its last five.
- The Mets have hit 13 home runs in their last 10 games. The Cubs have hit 16 over their last 10.
- The Mets have a team OPS of .754 this season and an OPS of .735 against right-handed pitchers. The Cubs’ OPS sits at .788 overall and .804 versus righties.
- New York has posted 24.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 25.6 over its last five.
