The Atlanta Braves are playing host to the New York Mets at SunTrust Park. SportsNet New York will be televising the matchup and the game will get underway at 7:20 p.m. ET.
New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves Odds
New York (+140) is entering this one as the underdog to Atlanta (-150) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this night game at 10 runs. The odds for wagering on the game’s total currently stand at -110 for both the over and the under. Gamblers can also bet on the game’s spread with the current runline odds sitting at -155 for the Mets +1.5 runs and +135 for the Braves -1.5.
The Mets have gone 35-38 SU this year and are 34-38 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 11.8 units for moneyline gamblers and 8.1 units ATS. New York has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the over has hit in six of those seven. The Braves, on the other hand, are 43-31 SU and 36-37 ATS. They’ve gained 8.6 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 1.9 units ATS. Atlanta has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in all seven of them.
Braves games have an over/under record of 42-26-5 so far in 2019. New York has also been a good over bet with a total record of 39-27-6.
The southpaw Steven Matz is the projected starter for New York. Matz (5-4, 3.93 ERA) has recorded 72 strikeouts in 68.2 innings so far. He’s 1-0 with eight strikeouts and a 3.00 ERA against Atlanta this year.
The Braves are putting the ball in the left hand of Max Fried (7-3, 4.11 ERA, 1.33 WHIP), who has 70 strikeouts and 21 walks. Fried has yet to face the Mets this year and only made one start against them in 2018 (0-0, 1.13 ERA and 14 strikeouts across eight innings).
As a unit, Atlanta’s pitching staff has given up 4.9 runs per game overall this year. Its starters have an ERA of 4.41, a WHIP of 1.34 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.0. The bullpen has a 4.13 ERA, 1.43 WHIP and 9.5 K/9. In 23 games against NL East opponents, Braves starters have an ERA of 4.82 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.83.
The Atlanta offense has put up 5.4 runs per contest, including 5.6 per game against divisional foes and 8.6 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .335/.400/.611 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.
The Braves’ hitters have been led by first baseman Freddie Freeman and outfielder Ronald Acuna Jr.. Freeman is slashing .313/.402/.597 with 20 home runs, 53 RBIs and 56 runs scored, and Acuna Jr. is batting .297 with 17 homers, 49 RBIs, 50 runs and nine steals.
In the visiting dugout, New York’s pitchers have allowed 5.0 runs per game and its starters own a 4.22 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 9.23 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 5.45, along with a WHIP of 1.26.
The Mets offense has slashed .252/.328/.427 on its way to 4.8 runs scored per game this season, including 5.2 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).
New York’s hitters have been paced by left fielder Jeff McNeil and first baseman Pete Alonso. McNeil is hitting .333/.404/.470 with four home runs, 21 RBIs and 29 runs scored, while Alonso is slashing .274/.359/.624 with 24 homers, 57 RBIs and 46 runs scored.
The Mets have lost 1.8 units and are 9-7 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in nine of those games, as opposed to six that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Braves have netted 5.0 units and are 8-8 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over has cashed in 12 of those games, compared to three that went under the total.
Mets vs. Braves MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Braves, ATS Winner – Mets, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- New York has logged 19 extra-base hits over its last five contests. Atlanta has 24 XBH over its last five.
- The Mets have hit 15 home runs in their last 10 games. The Braves have hit 25 over their last 10.
- The Mets have an OPS of .755 this season, including an OPS of .798 against left-handed pitchers. The Braves’ OPS sits at .804 overall and .803 against southpaws.
- New York has recorded 24.7 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 26.2 over its last five.
