The Miami Marlins will pay a visit to Busch Stadium to face the St. Louis Cardinals. The first pitch is scheduled for 8:15 p.m. ET and Fox Sports Midwest will be showing this NL matchup.
Miami Marlins at St. Louis Cardinals Odds
Vegas is listing Miami (+180) as the underdog to St. Louis (-190). The total stands at 8.5 runs and bettors can take either the over or the under for -110. The game’s current runline odds sit at -125 for taking the Marlins +1.5 runs and +105 for the Cardinals -1.5.
The Cardinals are 36-34 straight up (SU) and 37-32 against the spread (ATS). The team has lost 5.7 units for moneyline bettors while earning 4.3 units ATS. The Marlins have gone 25-44 SU this year and are 31-37 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 4.2 units for moneyline gamblers and 14.4 units ATS.
Cardinals games have an over/under record of 32-32-5 thus far in 2019. The Marlins have an over/under record of 31-34-3.
The right-handed Elieser Hernandez is the projected starter for Miami. Hernandez (0-1, 5.87 ERA) has recorded seven punchouts in 7.2 innings so far. He’s 0-1 with seven strikeouts and a 4.76 ERA against St. Louis this year.
The Cardinals are countering with Miles Mikolas (4-7, 4.83 ERA). Mikolas has 57 strikeouts and 15 walks, along with a WHIP of 1.23. Mikolas is 0-1 with four strikeouts and a 9.00 ERA in one start against Miami this year.
St. Louis’ pitchers have allowed 4.5 runs per game overall this year as a unit. The team’s starters have an ERA of 4.44, a WHIP of 1.40 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.7. The bullpen has a 4.05 ERA, 1.16 WHIP and 10.3 K/9.
The St. Louis offense has put up 4.7 runs per outing, including 4.2 per game over its last 10 games and 5.0 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .221/.298/.417 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that span.
The Cardinals’ hitters have been led by shortstop Paul DeJong and first baseman Paul Goldschmidt. DeJong is hitting .278/.366/.506 with 13 home runs, 34 RBIs and 49 runs scored, while Goldschmidt’s line sits at .262/.353/.433 with 13 homers, 29 RBIs and 42 runs scored.
In the other dugout, Miami’s pitching staff allowed 4.6 runs per game and its starters own a 3.90 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 7.95 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 5.21, along with a WHIP of 1.24 and a K-per-9 of 9.54.
Marlins hitters have slashed .237/.299/.348 on their way to 3.5 runs scored per game this year, including 2.7 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.6 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).
Second baseman Starlin Castro and third baseman Brian Anderson continue to lead Miami’s hitters. Castro is hitting .234/.265/.308 with four home runs, 28 RBIs and 19 runs scored, while Anderson is hitting .242/.331/.375 with seven homers, 28 RBIs and 23 runs scored.
The Marlins have lost 4.2 units and are 20-29 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 20 of those games, compared to 27 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Cardinals have lost 2.5 units and are 31-25 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has cashed in 25 of those games, compared to 27 that went under the total.
Marlins vs. Cardinals Free MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Cardinals, ATS Winner – Marlins, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- The under has cashed in just two of St. Louis’ last seven games.
- The Marlins have a team OPS of .648 this season and an OPS of .650 against right-handed pitchers. The Cardinals’ OPS stands at .734 overall and .743 against righties.
- The Cardinals have won three of their last four games SU.
- St. Louis has recorded 18.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 19.4 over its last five.
- The Marlins have hit four home runs in their last 10 games, including three over their last five.
