Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees Free Pick

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Tommy Pham and the Tampa Bay Rays are traveling north to take on their divisional rival New York Yankees at Yankee Stadium. The game gets underway 7:05 p.m. ET and YES Network will be showing the matchup.

Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees Odds

The Yankees are 43-27 straight up (SU) and 37-32 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 1.1 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 5.3 units ATS. New York has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the over has hit in six of those seven. The Rays are 43-28 SU and have gone 40-30 against the spread. In total, the club has gained 0.8 units for moneyline gamblers and 8.3 units ATS. Tampa Bay is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven.

Yankees games have an over/under record of 37-29-3 so far in 2019. Tampa Bay has been a good under bet with a total record of 27-38-5.

Yonny Chirinos will get the nod for the visiting Rays. The right-handed Chirinos (7-2, 2.88 ERA) has recorded 62 strikeouts in 75 innings so far. He’s 1-0 with four strikeouts and a 2.08 ERA against New York this year.

The Yankees are turning to righty Masahiro Tanaka (4-5, 3.58 ERA), who has 74 strikeouts and 19 walks as well as a 1.18 WHIP. Tanaka is 1-0 with 13 strikeouts and a 0.69 ERA across two starts against Tampa Bay this year.

Tampa Bay’s pitchers have allowed 3.4 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 2.72 ERA, 1.02 WHIP and 10.13 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 3.41, along with a WHIP of 1.02.

The Rays offense has slashed .262/.337/.439 on its way to 4.7 runs scored per game in 2019, including 4.6 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).

Tampa Bay’s hitters have been led by outfielders Tommy Pham and Avisail Garcia. Pham is slashing .299/.409/.475 with 10 home runs, 31 RBIs, 31 runs and six steals. Garcia is hitting .299 with 11 homers, 32 RBIs, 35 runs and six stolen bases.

In the other dugout, New York’s pitchers have given up 4.4 runs per game overall this season. Its starters have an ERA of 4.13, a WHIP of 1.25 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.9. The bullpen has a 3.99 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 10.1 K/9. In 26 divisional games, Yankees starters have an ERA of 3.72 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.40.

New York’s offense is putting up 5.4 runs per contest, including 6.2 per game against divisional foes and 5.6 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .263/.352/.400 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that span.

Second baseman DJ LeMahieu and shortstop Gleyber Torres have led the Yankees’ hitters this year. LeMahieu is hitting .312/.356/.451 with seven home runs, 41 RBIs and 44 runs scored, while Torres has produced a line of .286/.344/.522 with 15 homers, 36 RBIs and 41 runs.

The Rays have lost 0.5 units and are 24-21 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in 20 of those games, compared to 21 that’ve hit the under against righty starters. On the other hand, the Yankees have netted 7.5 units and are 30-23 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has cashed in 30 of those games, compared to 21 that went under the total.

Rays vs. Yankees Free MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Yankees, ATS Winner – Rays, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • The over has cashed in only one of Tampa Bay’s last seven contests.
  • New York has recorded 24.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 24.0 over its last five.
  • The Rays have hit 13 home runs in their last 10 games. The Yankees have hit 14 over their last 10.
  • The Rays have a team OPS of .777 this season and an OPS of .796 against right-handed pitchers. The Yankees’ OPS stands at .785 overall and .814 against righties.