Paul DeJong and the St. Louis Cardinals will be taking on the New York Mets at Citi Field in a Sunday showdown. The game gets underway 1:10 p.m. ET and Pix11 will be televising this NL matchup.
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets Odds
Las Vegas has St. Louis (-110) as the favorite over New York (+100). If you’re thinking the game’s total is going to go below 9 runs, then Vegas is teeing up -110 odds to play the under. Taking the over will return -110 odds. There’s a runline of Cardinals -1.5 (+135) and Mets +1.5 (-155) for this matchup.
The Cardinals are 35-34 SU and are 36-32 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 4.7 units for moneyline gamblers, despite having gained 3.3 units ATS. St. Louis has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Mets, on the other hand, are 34-36 SU and 33-36 ATS. They’ve lost 10.8 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 6.5 units ATS. New York has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven.
New York games have an over/under record of 37-26-6 thus far in 2019. Cardinals games have gone under 32 times, gone over 31 times and pushed on five occasions.
Right-hander Dakota Hudson is projected to start for the visiting Cardinals. Hudson is 5-3 with a 3.47 ERA and 51 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with five strikeouts and a 5.40 ERA against New York this year.
The Mets will put the ball in the left hand of Jason Vargas (3-3, 3.68 ERA, 1.36 WHIP), who has 40 strikeouts and 21 walks this season. Vargas is 0-0 with three strikeouts and a 2.25 ERA in one start against St. Louis this year.
St. Louis’ pitching staff allowed 4.6 runs per game and its starters own a 4.44 ERA, 1.40 WHIP and 7.71 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.10, along with a WHIP of 1.40 and a K/9 of 10.28.
The Cardinals offense has slashed .247/.328/.410 on its way to 4.7 runs scored per game in 2019, including 4.1 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).
St. Louis’ hitters have been paced by shortstop Paul DeJong and first baseman Paul Goldschmidt. DeJong is slashing .277/.364/.496 with 12 home runs, 33 RBIs and 47 runs scored. Goldschmidt is hitting .261 with 12 homers, 27 RBIs and 40 runs scored.
For the home team, New York’s pitching staff has yielded 5.0 runs per game overall in 2019. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 4.23, a WHIP of 1.27 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.2. The bullpen has a 5.32 ERA, 1.52 WHIP and 9.3 K/9.
The New York offense is putting up 4.7 runs per outing, including 5.8 per game over its last 10 games and 6.4 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .250/.322/.422 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.
Left fielder Jeff McNeil and first baseman Pete Alonso have led the charge for the Mets’ batters this year. McNeil is hitting .335/.406/.459 with three home runs, 20 RBIs and 26 runs scored, and Alonso’s line is .263/.348/.610 with 23 homers, 53 RBIs and 43 runs.
The Cardinals have lost 3.3 units and are 6-7 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in seven of those games, as opposed to five that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Mets have lost 8.9 units and are 24-29 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s cashed in 28 of those games, compared to 20 that went under.
Cardinals at Mets Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Mets, ATS Winner – Mets, O/U – UNDER
Betting Trends
- St. Louis has logged 19 extra-base hits over its last five contests. New York has 15 XBH over its last five.
- St. Louis has recorded 19.5 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 24.0 over its last five.
- The Cardinals have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games, including seven over their last five.
- The Cardinals have a total OPS of .737 this season and an OPS of .742 against left-handed pitchers. The Mets’ OPS sits at .748 overall and .804 against lefties.
