The Miami Marlins will play host to the Pittsburgh Pirates at Marlins Park. The game gets going at 1:10 p.m. ET and this NL showdown will be televised on either ATPT or FSFL.
Pittsburgh Pirates at Miami Marlins Odds
Pittsburgh (-115) is favored over Miami (+105) and Vegas has the Over/Under for this game at 8 runs (+105 for the under and -125 for the over). You can also wager on the game’s spread with the runline odds standing at +130 for the Pirates -1.5 runs and -150 for the Marlins +1.5 runs.
The Marlins are 25-43 straight up (SU) and 31-36 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 5.2 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 13.4 units ATS. The Pirates are 31-39 SU and have gone 35-34 ATS. Overall, the club has lost 1.8 units for moneyline gamblers and 6.3 units ATS.
Marlins games have a 31-33-3 over/under record so far in 2019. The Pirates have been a good over bet with a total record of 41-26-2.
The right-handed Chris Archer is projected to start for the visiting Bucs. Archer is 3-6 with a 5.73 ERA and 61 strikeouts. This will be his first outing against Miami this year. He made two starts against the Marlins in 2018, compiling a 0-0 record against them with a 4.50 ERA and 19 strikeouts.
The Marlins are going with righty Sandy Alcantara (3-6, 3.67 ERA), who has 52 strikeouts and 36 walks to his credit, along with a 1.37 WHIP. Alcantara did not record a start against the Pirates in 2018.
As a unit, Miami’s pitching staff has allowed 4.6 runs per game overall in 2019. The team’s starting pitching staff has a 3.89 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 7.9 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 5.20 ERA, 1.50 WHIP and 9.6 K/9.
The Miami offense has put up 3.5 runs per contest, including 3.1 per game over its last 10 games and 3.0 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .261/.315/.333 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.
The Marlins’ hitters have been led by Brian Anderson, who is slashing .245/.332/.379 with seven home runs, 28 RBIs and 22 runs scored.
For the visitors, Pittsburgh’s pitchers have allowed 5.5 runs per game and its starters own a 5.00 ERA, 1.40 WHIP and 8.16 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 5.31, along with a WHIP of 1.40.
Pirates hitters have slashed .260/.318/.413 on their way to 4.4 runs scored per game in 2019, including 5.3 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 6.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).
Josh Bell has sparked Pittsburgh’s hitters and is slashing .323/.391/.658 with 19 home runs, 64 RBIs and 51 runs scored.
The Marlins are coming off a 4-3 victory in the prior game of this series.
Pirates vs. Marlins Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Marlins, ATS Winner – Marlins, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- The under has cashed in just two of Pittsburgh’s last seven games.
- The Pirates have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games. The Marlins have hit four over their last 10.
- The Pirates have a total OPS of .732 this season and an OPS of .749 against right-handed pitchers. The Marlins’ OPS sits at .646 overall and .647 versus righties.
- Miami has posted 19.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 20.2 over its last five.
