The struggling Baltimore Orioles are trying to avoid losing their fifth in a row when they play host to the Boston Red Sox at Camden Yards. Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will be showing the matchup. The game gets underway at 1:05 p.m. ET.
Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles Odds
Boston (-155) is entering this game as the favorite over Baltimore (+145) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this game at 10 runs (-110 for the over and -110 for the under). Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the odds sitting at -110 for the Red Sox -1.5 runs and -110 for the Orioles +1.5.
The Red Sox have gone 38-34 SU this year and are 29-42 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 14.2 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 16.8 units ATS. Boston has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The Orioles, on the other hand, are 21-49 SU and 29-40 ATS. The team has lost 13.2 units for moneyline bettors and 15.3 units ATS. Baltimore has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven outings and the total has gone under in four of those seven.
Orioles games have had an over/under record of 33-33-3 so far in 2019. The Red Sox have been a decent over bet with a total record of 39-30-2.
Southpaw Brian Johnson is projected to start for the visiting BoSox. Johnson (1-0, 12.71 ERA) has recorded seven punchouts in 5.2 innings so far. He has yet to face the Orioles this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.
The Orioles are going with lefty John Means (6-4, 2.60 ERA), who has 57 strikeouts and 19 walks to his name, along with a 1.10 WHIP. Means is 1-1 with seven strikeouts and a 1.50 ERA across two starts against Boston this year.
As a unit, Baltimore’s pitching staff has given up 6.1 runs per game overall in 2019. Its starters have a 5.44 ERA, 1.44 WHIP and 7.1 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 6.05 ERA, 1.52 WHIP and 8.7 K/9. In 32 games against AL East opponents, Orioles starters have an ERA of 5.12 and the bullpen’s ERA is 6.70.
Baltimore’s offense is putting up 4.0 runs per outing, including 3.8 per game against divisional foes and 3.4 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .271/.333/.406 over its last five matchups and is 1-4 SU during that span.
Right fielder Trey Mancini and second baseman Jonathan Villar have led the way for the Orioles’ offense this year. Mancini is slashing .307/.359/.561 with 15 home runs, 34 RBIs and 49 runs scored, and Villar is hitting .249 with seven homers, 27 RBIs, 38 runs and 12 stolen bases.
In the visiting dugout, Boston’s pitchers have allowed 4.7 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.60 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 9.68 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.00, along with a WHIP of 1.26 and a K/9 of 10.54.
Red Sox hitters have slashed .261/.342/.448 on their way to 5.4 runs scored per game this season, including 4.5 runs per game against divisional foes and 7.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (4-1 SU).
Third baseman Rafael Devers and shortstop Xander Bogaerts continue to lead Boston’s hitters. Devers is slashing .304/.361/.493 with 10 home runs, 44 RBIs, 50 runs and eight steals. Bogaerts (.294/.384/.531) has produced 14 homers, 46 RBIs and 55 runs scored.
The Red Sox have lost 11.8 units and are 6-15 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has hit in 11 of those games, compared to nine that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Orioles have lost 4.0 units and are 10-16 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 12 of those games, as opposed to 13 which went under the total.
Red Sox vs. Orioles MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Red Sox, ATS Winner – Red Sox, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- The over has hit in four of Boston’s last seven outings.
- The Red Sox have hit 16 home runs in their last 10 games, including 14 over their last five.
- The Red Sox have a total OPS of .790 this season, including an OPS of .727 against left-handed pitchers. The Orioles’ OPS stands at .701 overall and .725 against lefties.
- Boston has recorded 22.6 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 29.6 over its last five.
- The Orioles have dropped five of their last six games SU.
