The Philadelphia Phillies are set to take on their divisional foe Atlanta Braves in a Sunday showdown. NBC Sports Philadelphia will be televising the action and the game gets going at 1:20 p.m. ET.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves Odds
The Phillies are 39-31 SU and have gone 36-33 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 2.2 units for moneyline bettors and 2.6 units ATS. Philadelphia’s covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The Braves, on the other hand, are 41-30 SU and 33-37 ATS. The team’s gained 7.5 units for bettors taking the moneyline while gaining 1.6 units ATS. Atlanta has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the over has cashed in six of those seven.
Atlanta games have an over/under record of 39-26-5 thus far in 2019. Philadelphia has an over/under record of 32-35-2.
Cole Irvin will get the start for the visiting Phillies. Irvin (2-1, 5.48 ERA) has racked up 18 punchouts in 21.1 innings so far. He has yet to face the Braves this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.
The Braves are putting the ball in the hands of righty Mike Foltynewicz (1-5, 6.02 ERA), who has 42 strikeouts and 13 walks, along with a WHIP of 1.32. Foltynewicz made six starts against the Phillies in 2018, compiling a 3-1 record with a 2.04 ERA and 40 strikeouts.
As a unit, Atlanta’s pitching staff has given up 4.9 runs per game overall this year. Its starters have a 4.36 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and 8.1 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.17 ERA, 1.42 WHIP and 9.5 K/9. In 20 games against NL East opponents, Braves starters have an ERA of 4.68 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.90.
The Atlanta hitters have put up 5.2 runs per contest, including 5.0 per game against divisional foes and 7.0 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .311/.394/.585 over its last five matchups and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.
The Braves’ hitters have been led by first baseman Freddie Freeman and left fielder Ronald Acuna Jr.. Freeman is slashing .308/.397/.591 with 19 home runs, 49 RBIs and 51 runs scored, while Acuna Jr.’s line is .287/.366/.491 with 15 homers, 45 RBIs, 45 runs and nine stolen bases.
In the visiting dugout, Philadelphia’s pitchers have allowed 4.6 runs per game and its starters own a 4.36 ERA, 1.35 WHIP and 8.13 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.31, along with a K/9 of 9.31.
The Phillies offense has slashed .244/.324/.421 on its way to 4.9 runs scored per game in 2019, including 5.8 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).
First baseman Rhys Hoskins and shortstop Jean Segura have led Philadelphia’s offense. Hoskins is hitting .274/.397/.528 with 15 home runs, 49 RBIs and 38 runs scored, while Segura is slashing .279/.330/.443 with six homers, 27 RBIs and 42 runs scored.
The Phillies have gained 10.4 units and are 27-24 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 22 of those games, compared to 27 that’ve gone under against ies.
Phillies at Braves Free MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Braves, ATS Winner – Phillies, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- The over has hit in three of Philadelphia’s last seven outings.
- Philadelphia has posted 22.8 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 23.8 over its last five.
- The Phillies have hit 17 home runs in their last 10 games, including 10 over their last five.
