The Baltimore Orioles are trying to avoid losing their fourth straight game as they play host to the Boston Red Sox at Oriole Park. The matchup will begin at 4:05 p.m. ET and Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will showcase the game.
Boston Red Sox at Baltimore Orioles Odds
Boston (-260) is favored against Baltimore (+230) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this day game at 8 runs (-115 for the over and -105 for the under). Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the current runline odds sitting at Red Sox -1.5 runs (-165) and Orioles +1.5 runs (+145).
The Orioles are 21-48 straight up (SU) and 29-39 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 12.2 units for moneyline bettors and 14.3 units ATS. Baltimore has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in five of those seven. The Red Sox have gone 37-34 SU this year and are 28-42 against the spread. In total, the club has lost 15.2 units for moneyline bettors and 17.8 units ATS. Boston has covered the spread just once in its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven.
Baltimore games have had an over/under record of 32-33-3 thus far in 2019. Boston has been a decent over bet with a total record of 38-30-2.
Left-hander Chris Sale is the projected starter for the visiting BoSox. Sale is 2-7 with a 3.52 ERA and 120 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with 14 strikeouts and a 1.13 ERA against Baltimore this year.
The Orioles are handing the ball to righty Dylan Bundy (3-7, 4.50 ERA), who has 70 strikeouts and 24 walks, along with a WHIP of 1.23. Bundy has yet to face the Red Sox this year, but he made five starts against them in 2018, compiling a 0-3 record with a 5.20 ERA.
As a unit, Baltimore’s pitching staff has allowed 6.1 runs per game overall this year. The club’s starters have a 5.46 ERA, 1.43 WHIP and 7.0 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 6.04 ERA, 1.52 WHIP and 8.7 K/9. In 31 games against AL East opponents, Orioles starters have an ERA of 5.17 and the bullpen’s ERA is 6.70.
The Baltimore hitters have produced 4.0 runs per contest, including 3.8 per game against divisional foes and 3.0 per game over their last five. The team has hit .265/.333/.398 over its last five matchups and is 1-4 SU during that span.
The Orioles’ batters have been led by right fielder Trey Mancini and second baseman Jonathan Villar. Mancini is slashing .305/.358/.564 with 15 home runs, 34 RBIs and 48 runs scored, and Villar is batting .251 with seven homers, 26 RBIs, 38 runs and 12 stolen bases.
For the visiting squad, Boston’s pitching staff allowed 4.7 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.63 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 9.60 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.04, along with a WHIP of 1.26 and a K/9 of 10.49.
The Red Sox offense has slashed .260/.341/.448 on its way to 5.3 runs scored per game this season, including 4.4 runs per game against divisional foes and 6.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).
Third baseman Rafael Devers and shortstop Xander Bogaerts continue to lead Boston’s offense. Devers is slashing .303/.360/.494 with 10 home runs, 44 RBIs, 48 runs and eight steals, while Bogaerts (.292/.381/.527) has produced 14 homers, 44 RBIs and 54 runs scored.
The Red Sox have lost 3.4 units and are 22-27 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 27 of those games, compared to 21 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Orioles have lost 3.0 units and are 10-15 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over’s hit in 11 of those games, compared to 13 that went under.
Red Sox at Orioles Free Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Red Sox, ATS Winner – Red Sox, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- The under has cashed in five of Baltimore’s last seven games.
- The Red Sox have hit 16 home runs in their last 10 games, including 14 over their last five.
- The Red Sox have a total OPS of .790 this season and an OPS of .810 against right-handed pitchers. The Orioles’ OPS stands at .703 overall and .696 versus righties.
- Baltimore has recorded 21.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 20.6 over its last five.
- The Orioles have dropped four of their last five games SU.
