Jean Segura and the struggling Philadelphia Phillies are set to do battle against their division rival Atlanta Braves at SunTrust Park in a Saturday night game. The matchup will begin at 7:20 p.m. ET and NBC Sports Philadelphia will broadcast the game.
Philadelphia Phillies at Atlanta Braves Odds
Bookmakers have Atlanta (-115) as the favorite over Philadelphia (+105). You can play game’s total with current odds listed at -105 for over 9.5 runs and -115 for under 9.5. This game currently has a runline of Phillies +1.5 (-200) and Braves -1.5 (+170).
The Phillies are 38-31 SU and are 35-33 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 3.2 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 1.6 units ATS. The Braves, on the other hand, are 41-29 SU and 33-36 ATS. The team’s gained 6.5 units for bettors taking the moneyline while gaining 0.6 units ATS.
Atlanta games have an over/under record of 38-26-5 so far in 2019. Philadelphia has an over/under record of 31-35-2.
The right-handed Aaron Nola is the projected starter for the visiting Phillies. Nola is 6-1 with a 4.58 ERA and 86 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with eight strikeouts and a 1.50 ERA against Atlanta this year.
The Braves are sending lefty Sean Newcomb (1-0, 2.59 ERA) to the hill. Newcomb has 26 punchouts and 10 walks to his name as well as a 1.34 WHIP. Newcomb has yet to face the Phillies this year and did not register a start against them in 2018.
Philadelphia’s pitchers have allowed 4.6 runs per game and its starters own a 4.30 ERA, 1.35 WHIP and 8.13 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.40, along with a WHIP of 1.35.
Phillies hitters have slashed .244/.324/.421 on their way to 4.9 runs scored per game this year, including 5.8 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).
Shortstop Jean Segura and first baseman Rhys Hoskins continue to lead Philadelphia’s hitters. Segura is hitting .285/.336/.452 with six home runs, 27 RBIs and 42 runs scored, while Hoskins is hitting .273 with 15 homers, 49 RBIs and 37 runs scored.
In the home-team dugout, Atlanta’s pitchers have given up 4.9 runs per game overall this season. Its starters have an ERA of 4.39, a WHIP of 1.32 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.1. The bullpen has a 4.23 ERA, 1.43 WHIP and 9.5 K/9. In 19 divisional games, Braves starters have an ERA of 4.81 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.11.
Atlanta’s offense has put up 5.2 runs per contest, including 5.0 per game against divisional foes and 8.6 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .335/.420/.654 over its last five games and is 5-0 SU during that stretch.
First baseman Freddie Freeman and left fielder Ronald Acuna Jr. have led the Braves’ offense this year. Freeman is slashing .313/.401/.599 with 19 home runs, 48 RBIs and 50 runs scored, while Acuna Jr.’s line is .287/.366/.495 with 15 homers, 45 RBIs, 43 runs and nine stolen bases.
The Phillies have lost 7.3 units and are 8-9 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in nine of those games, as opposed to eight that’ve gone under against lefties. On the other hand, the Braves have netted 1.5 units and are 25-28 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 26 of those games, compared to 23 which went under the total.
Phillies at Braves Free Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Braves, ATS Winner – Phillies, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- The over has hit in six of Atlanta’s last seven games.
- The Phillies have dropped four of their last five games SU.
- Philadelphia fielders have zero errors over the last five contests, compared to six errors for Atlanta over its last five.
- The Phillies have hit 17 home runs in their last 10 games, including nine over their last five.
- The Phillies have an OPS of .745 this season and an OPS of .774 against left-handed pitchers. The Braves’ OPS stands at .793 overall and .805 against southpaws.
