The St. Louis Cardinals will head east to play the New York Mets at Citi Field. SportsNet New York will televise this NL matchup and the action gets underway at 7:10 p.m. ET.
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets Odds
Vegas has listed St. Louis (+105) as the underdog to New York (-115). If you think the game’s total will go under 8.5 runs, Vegas is currently offering -115 odds. Playing the over will return -105 odds. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the odds coming in at Cardinals +1.5 runs (-200) and Mets -1.5 runs (+170).
The Mets are 33-34 straight up (SU) and 33-34 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 8.1 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 4.5 units ATS. The Cardinals have gone 33-33 SU this year and are 34-32 ATS. Overall, the club has lost 7.2 units for gamblers taking the moneyline, but have gained 1.3 units ATS.
Mets games have a 35-26-6 over/under record so far in 2019. St. Louis has an over/under record of 29-32-5.
Daniel Ponce de Leon is getting the start for the visiting Cardinals. The right-handed Ponce de Leon is 0-0 with a 1.80 ERA and seven strikeouts. He has yet to face the Mets this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.
The Mets are countering with Steven Matz (5-4, 3.88 ERA). Matz has 66 punchouts and 20 walks, along with a 1.37 WHIP. Matz made two starts against the Cardinals in 2018, compiling a 0-2 record with a 7.36 ERA.
New York’s pitchers have yielded 4.9 runs per game overall in 2019 as a unit. Its starters have an ERA of 4.23, a WHIP of 1.28 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.3. The bullpen has a 5.13 ERA, 1.49 WHIP and 9.4 K/9.
The New York offense is putting up 4.7 runs per contest, including 5.0 per game over its last 10 games and 5.4 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .253/.314/.459 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.
Left fielder Jeff McNeil and shortstop Amed Rosario have led the Mets’ hitters this year. McNeil is hitting .338/.411/.472 with three home runs, 20 RBIs and 24 runs scored, while Rosario’s line is .248/.290/.417 with eight homers, 35 RBIs, 26 runs and six stolen bases.
For the visitors, St. Louis’ pitching staff allowed 4.5 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.36 ERA, 1.39 WHIP and 7.62 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.19, along with a WHIP of 1.39 and a K-per-9 of 10.34.
Cardinals hitters have slashed .245/.326/.404 on their way to 4.6 runs scored per game this year, including 3.0 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).
First baseman Paul Goldschmidt and shortstop Paul DeJong continue to lead St. Louis’ offense. Goldschmidt is hitting .271/.358/.438 with 12 home runs, 27 RBIs and 40 runs scored, while DeJong is hitting .269/.362/.475 with 10 homers, 29 RBIs and 44 runs scored.
The Cardinals have lost 4.4 units and are 5-7 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has hit in six of those games, compared to five that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Mets have lost 6.3 units and are 24-27 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 26 of those games, as opposed to 20 which went under the total.
Cardinals vs. Mets MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Mets, ATS Winner – Cardinals, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- The over has hit in three of New York’s last seven games.
- The Cardinals have a total OPS of .730 this season, including an OPS of .740 against left-handed pitchers. The Mets’ OPS stands at .750 overall and .793 against lefties.
- The Mets have won three of their last four games SU.
- St. Louis has recorded 16.8 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 16.8 over its last five.
- The Cardinals have hit nine home runs in their last 10 games. The Mets have hit 19 over their last 10.
