Josh Bell and the Pittsburgh Pirates are traveling south to take on the Miami Marlins at Marlins Park. This NL showdown gets going at 7:10 p.m. ET and fans can watch the game on ATPT and FSFL.
Pittsburgh Pirates at Miami Marlins Odds
Pittsburgh (+105) is entering this game as the underdog against Miami (-115) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this game at eight runs. Odds for wagering on the game’s total sit at -120 for the over and +100 for the under. This game currently has a runline of Pirates +1.5 (-200) and Marlins -1.5 (+170).
The Pirates are 30-38 SU and are 33-34 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 1.8 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 8.3 units ATS. Pittsburgh has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven. The Marlins, on the other hand, are 24-42 SU and 31-35 ATS. The team has lost 4.1 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 12.4 units ATS. Miami has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven outings and the under has cashed in three of those seven.
Marlins games have an over/under record of 30-33-3 so far in 2019. Pittsburgh has been a decent over bet with a total record of 39-26-2.
Steven Brault is getting the nod for the visiting Pirates. The southpaw Brault is 2-1 with a 5.05 ERA and 34 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Marlins this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.
The Marlins will turn to righty Trevor Richards (3-6, 3.31 ERA), who has 68 strikeouts and 33 walks as well as a WHIP of 1.19. Richards only made one start against the Pirates in 2018 (0-0, 0.00 ERA and two strikeouts across seven innings).
Pittsburgh’s pitching staff allowed 5.6 runs per game and its starters own a 5.09 ERA, 1.40 WHIP and 8.16 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 5.42, along with a K-per-9 of 9.65.
Pirates hitters have slashed .257/.316/.408 on their way to 4.4 runs scored per game in 2019, including 5.1 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (0-5 SU).
First baseman Josh Bell and right fielder Starling Marte have led Pittsburgh’s offense. Bell is hitting .320/.389/.653 with 19 home runs, 61 RBIs and 49 runs scored, while Marte (.285/.326/.474) is up to 10 homers, 33 RBIs, 40 runs and 11 steals.
For the home team, Miami’s pitching staff has yielded 4.5 runs per game overall this season. The team’s starters have an ERA of 3.82, a WHIP of 1.22 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.1. The bullpen has a 5.09 ERA, 1.49 WHIP and 9.7 K/9.
The Miami offense has produced 3.5 runs per outing, including 5.2 per game over its last 10 games and 3.4 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .240/.293/.349 over its last five games and is 1-4 SU during that span.
The Marlins’ batters have been led by third baseman Brian Anderson and first baseman Miguel Rojas. Anderson is slashing .246/.327/.379 with seven home runs, 28 RBIs and 21 runs scored, and the line for Rojas stands at .272/.335/.327 with 59 hits, 18 RBIs and 22 runs.
The Pirates have gained 0.7 units and are 25-26 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 28 of those games, compared to 21 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Marlins have netted 1.1 units and are 11-7 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 10 of those games, compared to seven that’ve gone under.
Pirates vs. Marlins MLB Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Marlins, ATS Winner – Pirates, O/U – UNDER
Betting Trends
- Pittsburgh has tallied 14 extra-base hits over its last five games. Miami has 12 XBH over its last five.
- Miami has posted 24.0 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 20.2 over its last five.
- The Pirates have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games. The Marlins have hit nine over their last 10.
- The Pirates have an OPS of .724 this season and an OPS of .743 against right-handed pitchers. The Marlins’ OPS stands at .647 overall and .649 versus righties.
