The Golden State Warriors (1-3), 3-point underdogs, will attempt to extend the series when they travel to Scotiabank Arena to go head-to-head with the Toronto Raptors (3-1) in game five of the NBA Finals. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 212 points and action begins at 9 p.m. ET on Monday, June 10, 2019.
Golden State Warriors vs. Toronto Raptors Betting Odds
In game four, Leonard led the Raptors to a 105-92 victory. He recorded a double-double with 36 points and 12 rebounds. Toronto covered as a 5-point underdog and the two teams combined for 197 points, which was well under the projected point total of 215. Toronto had a much better turnover percentage (8.5 vs. 16.3). Golden State, on the other hand, had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (20.0 vs. 15.0).
Vegas has been spot on when predicting totals of Warriors games, with an even split between overs and unders. Golden State has a respectable 70-32 straight up (SU) record, but they are just 43-57-2 against the spread (ATS).
Contrary to Golden State, a little over half of Raptors games have finished over the total. Moreover, Toronto owns records of 73-31 SU and 51-51-2 ATS.
The Raptors are 3-6-1 with five overs and five unders in the playoffs. The Warriors, meanwhile, are 11-6 ATS with 13 overs and four unders
The Warriors’ Stephen Curry has been playing well over his last five games, averaging 35 points,7.0 rebounds,6.0 assists,1.4 steals per game. Meanwhile, Kawhi Leonard has averaged 30 points,10.6 rebounds,6.0 assists,1.6 steals during that same time frame for the Raptors.
This showdown pits one of the NBA’s top offenses against one of its elite defenses. Golden State ranks first in offensive efficiency and Toronto ranks third in defensive efficiency.
Golden State Warriors vs. Toronto Raptors ATS Pick
Free Pick: SU Winner – Raptors, ATS Winner – Raptors, O/U – Under
Betting Notes:
- The Raptors rank 20th in points in the paint per game (46.7) while the Warriors rank 29th (43.2).
- Toronto averages 34.0 three pointers per game, which ranks 10th in the NBA. Golden State ranks 27th in three pointers allowed per game (34.2).
- The Warriors rank first in assists per game (29.2) while the Raptors rank 14th (24.8).
- Toronto averages 8.3 steals per game, which ranks ninth in the league. Golden State ranks 20th in steals allowed per game (7.7).
- Golden State ranks first in blocks per game (6.2) while Toronto ranks 10th (5.2).
- The Raptors average 18.0 fast break points per game, which ranks sixth in the league. The Warriors rank 22nd in fast break points allowed per game (14.9).
- The Warriors rank fourth in rebounds allowed per game (43.7) while the Raptors rank 14th (45.0).
- Toronto averages 17.3 points off turnovers per game, which ranks ninth in the NBA. Golden State ranks 23rd in points off turnovers allowed per game (17.1).
- When holding opponents under 100 points, Toronto is 25-2 and Golden State is 13-0.
- The Raptors are 68-23 when they score above 100 points, while the Warriors are 70-23.
- Golden State is 24-26-1 ATS on the road, while Toronto is 26-26-1 ATS at home.
- Of the Warriors’ 51 road games, they have 29 overs, 21 unders and 1 push.
- In 53 home games, the Raptors have 27 overs, 24 unders and 2 pushes.
Bettings Trends:
- The Raptors are 4-1 ATS over their last five games, while the Warriors are 1-3-1.
- In their last five games, Toronto has 2 overs, 2 unders and 1 push, while Golden State has 3 overs, 1 under and 1 push.
- The Raptors’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 7.4, up from 6.0 for the season.
- During their last five games, the Warriors have scored an average of 107.6 points per game (9.5 below their season average) and allowed an average of 113.4 points per game (2.2 above their season average).
