The streaking Philadelphia Phillies will go for their fifth straight victory as they play host to the Cincinnati Reds at Citizens Bank Park. The game gets underway 1:05 p.m. ET and Fox Sports Ohio will televise this NL showdown.
Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies Odds
Cincinnati (+125) is entering this game as the underdog to Philadelphia (-135) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this game at 8.5 runs (-115 for the over and -105 for the under). Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the runline odds sitting at -170 for the Reds +1.5 runs and +150 for the Phillies -1.5.
The Phillies are 37-27 straight up (SU) and 33-30 against the spread (ATS). The team has gained 5.2 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 1.6 units ATS. Philadelphia has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in three of those seven. The Reds have gone 28-35 SU this year and are 34-28 against the spread. Overall, the club has lost 4.8 units for bettors taking the moneyline, but have gained 1.8 units ATS. Cincinnati has covered the spread just twice over its last seven games and the under has cashed in six of those seven.
Phillies games have an over/under record of 29-32-2 thus far in 2019. Cincinnati has been a decent under bet with a total record of 23-37-2.
The right-handed Sonny Gray is projected to start for Cincinnati. Gray is 2-5 with a 3.54 ERA and 68 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Phillies this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.
The Phillies are turning to Aaron Nola (6-1, 4.63 ERA). Nola has 79 punchouts and 31 walks, along with a WHIP of 1.53. Nola only made one start against the Reds in 2018 (1-0, 1.13 ERA and six strikeouts across eight innings).
As a unit, Philadelphia’s pitching staff has allowed 4.5 runs per game overall in 2019. The team’s starting pitching staff has an ERA of 4.18, a WHIP of 1.35 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.1. The bullpen has a 4.14 ERA, 1.40 WHIP and 9.4 K/9.
The Philadelphia hitters have put up 4.9 runs per contest, including 4.6 per game over its last 10 games and 5.2 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .251/.306/.479 over its last five contests and is 4-1 SU during that span.
Second baseman Cesar Hernandez and shortstop Jean Segura have paced the Phillies’ offense this year. Hernandez is hitting .277/.333/.443 with six home runs, 29 RBIs and 28 runs scored, and Segura is batting .291 with five homers, 25 RBIs and 39 runs.
In the other dugout, Cincinnati’s pitchers have allowed 3.8 runs per game and its starters own a 3.69 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 9.80 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 3.61, along with a K/9 of 9.83.
Reds hitters have slashed .232/.304/.403 on their way to 4.3 runs scored per game in 2019, including 4.1 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 1.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (1-4 SU).
Third baseman Eugenio Suarez and shortstop Jose Iglesias continue to lead Cincinnati’s hitters. Suarez is hitting .266/.341/.507 with 14 home runs, 40 RBIs and 32 runs scored, while Iglesias is slashing .292/.332/.416 with four homers, 22 RBIs and 26 runs scored.
The Reds have lost 5.3 units and are 22-24 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 17 of those games, compared to 27 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Phillies have netted 12.4 units and are 25-21 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 20 of those games, as opposed to 24 which went under the total.
Reds vs. Phillies MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Phillies, ATS Winner – Reds, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- Cincinnati has tallied 13 extra-base hits over its last five outings. Philadelphia has 20 XBH over its last five.
- The Reds have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games. The Phillies have hit 14 over their last 10.
- The Reds have an OPS of .706 this season and an OPS of .687 against right-handed pitchers. The Phillies’ OPS stands at .742 overall and .728 against righties.
- Philadelphia has posted 19.8 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 22.0 over its last five.
- The Reds have lost five of their last six games SU.
