The Milwaukee Brewers will go for their fourth win in a row when they play host to the Pittsburgh Pirates at Miller Park. The matchup gets going at 2:10 p.m. ET and fans can catch the game on either ATPT or FSWI.
Pittsburgh Pirates at Milwaukee Brewers Odds
Milwaukee (-165) is favored over Pittsburgh (+155) and oddsmakers have the Over/Under for this afternoon’s game at 10 runs (-120 for the over and +100 for the under). The game’s most recent runline odds stand at -140 for taking the Pirates +1.5 runs and +120 for the Brewers -1.5 runs.
The Pirates have gone 30-33 SU this year and are 32-30 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 3.2 units for bettors taking the moneyline, despite having lost 3.3 units ATS. The Brewers, on the other hand, are 37-28 SU and 32-32 ATS. They’ve gained 4.2 units for moneyline bettors while gaining 2.0 units ATS.
Milwaukee games have an over/under record of 28-35-1 so far in 2019. Pittsburgh has been a decent over bet with a total record of 36-24-2.
Southpaw Steven Brault is projected to start for the visiting Pirates. Brault is 2-1 with a 5.45 ERA and 29 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Brewers this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.
The Brewers are turning to righty Chase Anderson (3-1, 3.93 ERA), who’s got 40 strikeouts and 14 walks, in addition to a WHIP of 1.39. Anderson is 1-0 with five strikeouts and a 3.60 ERA in one start against Pittsburgh this year.
As a unit, Milwaukee’s pitching staff has allowed 4.9 runs per game overall this season. The club’s starters have a 4.61 ERA, 1.40 WHIP and 8.6 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.44 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and 10.1 K/9. In 27 games against divisional opponents, Brewers starters have an ERA of 5.62 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.17.
Milwaukee’s hitters have put up 5.0 runs per contest, including 5.6 per game against divisional foes and 4.6 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .289/.369/.488 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that span.
The Brewers’ batters have been led by Christian Yelich, who is slashing .337/.445/.736 with 23 home runs, 52 RBIs, 49 runs and 14 stolen bases.
For the visitors, Pittsburgh’s pitching staff allowed 5.5 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.82 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and 8.14 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 5.32, along with a K-per-9 of 9.74.
Pirates hitters have slashed .257/.316/.409 on their way to 4.3 runs scored per game this season, including 4.5 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).
Josh Bell has sparked Pittsburgh’s hitters so far and is slashing .331/.394/.678 with 18 home runs, 57 RBIs and 46 runs scored.
The Brewers are looking for another victory after a 5-3 win in the prior game of this series.
Pirates vs. Brewers Free Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Brewers, ATS Winner – Pirates, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- The under has hit in only two of Pittsburgh’s last seven games.
- The Pirates have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games, including seven over their last five.
- The Pirates have a total OPS of .725 this season and an OPS of .740 against right-handed pitchers. The Brewers’ OPS sits at .789 overall and .785 versus righties.
- Pittsburgh has posted 28.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 24.6 over its last five.
