The Baltimore Orioles will be taking on the Houston Astros in a Saturday showdown. ATTSN Southwest is in line to televise this AL matchup and the game is slated to get underway at 4:10 p.m. ET.
Baltimore Orioles at Houston Astros Odds
Houston (-240) is the huge favorite against Baltimore (+220) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this afternoon game at 9 runs (-110 for the over and -110 for the under). Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the current odds sitting at +100 for the Orioles +1.5 runs and -120 for the Astros -1.5.
The Orioles have gone only 19-44 SU this year and are 26-36 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 11.3 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 13.5 units ATS. Baltimore’s covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven. The Astros, on the other hand, are 44-21 SU and 36-28 ATS. The team’s gained 9.0 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 7.2 units ATS. Houston has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven.
Astros games have a 28-35-1 over/under record so far in 2019. Baltimore has an over/under record of 30-29-3.
The right-handed Andrew Cashner is projected to start for Baltimore. Cashner (6-2, 5.04 ERA) has recorded 48 strikeouts in 64.1 innings so far. He has yet to face the Astros this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.
The Astros are turning to Framber Valdez (2-2, 3.12 ERA). Valdez has 21 strikeouts and 13 walks, along with a WHIP of 1.35. Valdez did not register a start against the Orioles in 2018.
Houston’s pitchers have allowed 3.7 runs per game overall this year as a unit. The club’s starting pitching staff has an ERA of 3.64, a WHIP of 1.04 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 10.1. The bullpen has a 3.31 ERA, 1.14 WHIP and 9.8 K/9.
Houston’s offense has put up 5.2 runs per contest, including 5.2 per game over its last 10 games and 5.6 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .237/.321/.441 over its last five contests and is 4-1 SU during that span.
The Astros’ batters have been led by outfielders Michael Brantley and Josh Reddick. Brantley is hitting .322/.380/.521 with 10 home runs, 38 RBIs and 30 runs scored, and Reddick’s line is .310/.351/.462 with seven homers, 22 RBIs and 28 runs.
In the visiting dugout, Baltimore’s pitchers have allowed 6.0 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 5.55 ERA, 1.43 WHIP and 7.03 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 5.74, along with a K/9 of 8.69.
Orioles hitters have slashed .237/.299/.402 on their way to 4.1 runs scored per game in 2019, including 3.8 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (1-4 SU).
Right fielder Trey Mancini and second baseman Jonathan Villar continue to lead Baltimore’s offense. Mancini is slashing .304/.356/.549 with 13 home runs, 31 RBIs and 43 runs scored, while Villar (.256/.314/.409) has produced seven homers, 25 RBIs, 36 runs and 12 stolen bases.
The Orioles have lost 4.2 units and are 9-14 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in 11 of those games, as opposed to 11 that’ve gone under against lefty starters. On the other hand, the Astros have netted 2.4 units and are 24-20 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 21 of those games, as opposed to 22 which went under the total.
Orioles vs. Astros Free Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Astros, ATS Winner – Orioles, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- The over has hit in just two of Baltimore’s last seven games.
- The Orioles have a team OPS of .701 this season, including an OPS of .735 when facing left-handed pitchers. The Astros’ OPS sits at .825 overall and .863 against southpaws.
- The Orioles have lost five of their last six games SU while the Astros have won seven of their last eight.
- Houston has recorded 22.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 23.2 over its last five.
- The Orioles have hit 16 home runs in their last 10 games, including nine over their last five.
