The Minnesota Twins will be taking on their divisional nemesis Detroit Tigers in a Saturday showdown. The game gets underway 4:10 p.m. ET and Fox Sports North will broadcast the matchup.
Minnesota Twins at Detroit Tigers Odds
The Tigers are just 23-37 straight up (SU) and 26-33 against the spread (ATS). The team has lost 4.5 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 9.5 units ATS. Detroit has a 3-4 ATS record over its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Twins have gone 42-20 SU this year and are 37-24 against the spread. In total, the club has gained 21.2 units for moneyline gamblers and 10.7 units ATS. Minnesota has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven.
Tigers games have a 26-31-2 over/under record so far in 2019. The Twins have an over/under record of 31-27-3.
Detroit’s pitchers have given up 5.3 runs per game overall this season as a unit. The club’s starters have a 4.39 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 8.3 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 5.27 ERA, 1.48 WHIP and 7.8 K/9. In 21 games against AL Central foes, Tigers starters have an ERA of 4.95 and the bullpen’s ERA is 5.25.
Detroit’s offense is putting up 3.5 runs per contest, including 4.0 per game against divisional foes and 3.4 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .259/.306/.379 over its last five games and is 1-4 SU during that stretch.
The Tigers’ hitters have been led by Nicholas Castellanos and Miguel Cabrera. Castellanos is slashing .263/.315/.449 with six home runs, 23 RBIs and 35 runs scored, and Cabrera’s line sits at .295/.362/.386 with three homers, 27 RBIs and 16 runs.
For the visiting squad, Minnesota’s pitching staff allowed 4.2 runs per game and its starters own a 3.55 ERA, 1.16 WHIP and 8.21 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.59, along with a K-per-9 of 9.75.
The Twins offense has slashed .272/.342/.513 on its way to 5.9 runs scored per game in 2019, including 5.6 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).
Shortstop Jorge Polanco and left fielder Eddie Rosario have paced Minnesota’s hitters. Polanco is slashing .338/.400/.578 with 10 home runs, 32 RBIs and 40 runs scored, while Rosario is slashing .267/.302/.533 with 18 homers, 50 RBIs and 42 runs scored.
The Tigers have lost 6.4 units and are 19-29 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in 18 of those games, compared to 29 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers.
Twins at Tigers MLB Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Tigers, ATS Winner – Twins, O/U – UNDER
Betting Notes
- The under has hit in only one of Minnesota’s last seven games.
- The Tigers have dropped five of their last six games SU.
- Minnesota has recorded 24.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 23.8 over its last five.
- The Twins have hit 16 home runs in their last 10 games, including 12 over their last five.
