The Cincinnati Reds will pay a visit to Citizens Bank Park to play the Philadelphia Phillies. The opening pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET and Fox Sports Ohio is in line to televise this NL matchup.
Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies Odds
The Reds are 28-33 SU and have gone 34-26 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 2.9 units for moneyline bettors, despite having gained 5.3 units ATS. Cincinnati’s covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The Phillies, on the other hand, are 35-27 SU and 32-30 ATS. They’ve gained 4.2 units for moneyline bettors while earning 0.1 units ATS. Philadelphia has a 3-4 ATS record over its last seven outings and the total has gone under in three of those seven.
Phillies games have an over/under record of 29-31-2 so far in 2019. Cincinnati has been a good under bet with a total record of 23-35-2.
Right-hander Tyler Mahle is the probable starter for the visiting Reds. Mahle (2-5, 4.26 ERA) has recorded 67 strikeouts in 61.1 innings so far. He has yet to face the Phillies this year and only made one start against them in 2018 (0-0, 27.00 ERA and three strikeouts across one inning).
The Phillies are turning to Zach Eflin (5-5, 3.02 ERA). Eflin has 51 strikeouts and 14 walks, along with a 1.19 WHIP. Eflin only made one start against the Reds in 2018 (0-1, 6.75 ERA and four strikeouts across 5.1 innings).
As a unit, Philadelphia’s pitching staff has yielded 4.6 runs per game overall in 2019. The team’s starters have a 4.32 ERA, 1.37 WHIP and 8.1 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.20 ERA, 1.40 WHIP and 9.3 K/9.
The Philadelphia offense has produced 4.9 runs per contest, including 4.3 per game over its last 10 games and 4.2 per game over its last five. The team has hit .234/.280/.444 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.
The Phillies’ batters have been led by second baseman Cesar Hernandez and shortstop Jean Segura. Hernandez is slashing .281/.336/.452 with six home runs, 29 RBIs and 27 runs scored, and Segura’s line is .292/.342/.448 with five homers, 24 RBIs and 38 runs.
In the other dugout, Cincinnati’s pitching staff allowed 3.8 runs per game and its starters own a 3.63 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 9.94 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 3.67, along with a WHIP of 1.25.
The Reds offense has slashed .234/.306/.407 on its way to 4.4 runs scored per game in 2019, including 5.3 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).
Third baseman Eugenio Suarez and shortstop Jose Iglesias continue to lead Cincinnati’s offense. Suarez is slashing .277/.353/.527 with 14 home runs, 40 RBIs and 32 runs scored, while Iglesias (.294/.335/.421) is up to four homers, 21 RBIs and 26 runs scored.
The Reds have lost 3.3 units and are 22-22 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in 17 of those games, compared to 25 that’ve gone under against righty starters. On the other hand, the Phillies have netted 11.4 units and are 24-21 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 20 of those games, compared to 23 which went under the total.
Reds vs. Phillies MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Phillies, ATS Winner – Reds, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- The under has cashed in four of Cincinnati’s last seven games.
- The Reds have a team OPS of .712 this season and an OPS of .694 when facing right-handed pitchers. The Phillies’ OPS stands at .745 overall and .733 versus righties.
- Philadelphia has recorded 18.9 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 20.2 over its last five.
- The Reds have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games. The Phillies have hit 14 over their last 10.
