The Milwaukee Brewers are set to host their division rival Pittsburgh Pirates at Miller Park. The matchup begins at 8:10 p.m. ET and fans can catch it on ATPT and FSWI.
Pittsburgh Pirates at Milwaukee Brewers Odds
Vegas has listed Pittsburgh (+210) as the underdog to Milwaukee (-230). Bettors can wager on the game’s total with odds sitting at -125 for over nine runs and +105 for under nine. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the current runline odds standing at -105 for the Pirates +1.5 runs and -115 for the Brewers -1.5 runs.
The Pirates have gone 30-31 SU this year and are 31-29 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 3.1 units for moneyline gamblers, despite having lost 3.3 units ATS. Pittsburgh is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven. The Brewers, on the other hand, are 35-28 SU and 30-32 ATS. The team’s gained 2.2 units for moneyline bettors while earning 4.2 units ATS. Milwaukee has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven.
Milwaukee games have a 27-34-1 over/under record thus far in 2019. Pittsburgh has been a decent over bet with a total record of 35-23-2.
Rookie Davis will get the nod for the visiting Pirates. The right-handed Davis is 0-0 with a 5.87 ERA and eight strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with two strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA against Milwaukee this year.
The Brewers are handing the ball to righty Brandon Woodruff (7-1, 3.82 ERA), who’s got 80 punchouts and 19 walks, along with a WHIP of 1.20. Woodruff is 0-0 with five strikeouts and a 13.50 ERA in one start against Pittsburgh this year.
Milwaukee’s pitching staff has allowed 4.9 runs per game overall this season as a unit. The club’s starters have a 4.60 ERA, 1.40 WHIP and 8.5 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.53 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 10.0 K/9. In 25 divisional games, Brewers starters have an ERA of 5.68 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.36.
The Milwaukee hitters have produced 5.0 runs per outing, including 5.4 per game against divisional foes and 4.8 per game over their last five. The team has hit .249/.315/.459 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.
Outfielders Christian Yelich and Lorenzo Cain have led the charge for the Brewers’ batters this year. Yelich is hitting .328/.439/.731 with 23 home runs, 51 RBIs, 47 runs and 13 stolen bases, while Cain is batting .258 with four homers, 24 RBIs, 38 runs and six stolen bases.
In the other dugout, Pittsburgh’s pitchers have allowed 5.4 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.74 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and 8.09 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 5.20, along with a K-per-9 of 9.85.
Pirates hitters have slashed .258/.317/.409 on their way to 4.3 runs scored per game in 2019, including 4.6 runs per game against divisional foes and 6.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).
Pittsburgh’s hitters have been paced by first baseman Josh Bell and right fielder Starling Marte. Bell is slashing .338/.398/.692 with 18 home runs, 56 RBIs and 45 runs scored, while Marte (.279/.322/.450) has produced seven homers, 26 RBIs, 35 runs and 10 steals.
The Pirates have gained 5.6 units and are 23-21 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in 24 of those games, as opposed to 18 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Brewers have netted 1.8 units and are 21-25 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 22 of those games, as opposed to 23 that’ve cashed the under.
Pirates vs. Brewers Free Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Brewers, ATS Winner – Pirates, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- The over has hit in five of Pittsburgh’s last seven outings.
- The Pirates have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games, including seven over their last five.
- The Pirates have a total OPS of .726 this season and an OPS of .740 against right-handed pitchers. The Brewers’ OPS stands at .779 overall and .774 versus righties.
- Pittsburgh has posted 28.6 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 30.0 over its last five.
