Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners Betting Preview

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The Seattle Mariners are set to host their AL West foe Houston Astros at T-Mobile Park. The game gets going at 3:40 p.m. ET and the matchup will be shown on RTNW and ATSW.

Houston Astros at Seattle Mariners Odds

Seattle (receiving +180 odds) is entering into this one as a pretty heavy underdog against Houston and Vegas has the Over/Under for this one at 8.5 runs. The odds for betting on the game’s total currently sit at -120 for the over and +100 for the under. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the current odds sitting at -135 for the Astros -1.5 runs and +115 for the Mariners +1.5 runs.

The Astros have gone 42-21 SU this year and are 36-26 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 9.6 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 9.6 units ATS. The Mariners, on the other hand, are 26-39 SU and 30-34 ATS. The team’s lost 12.9 units for moneyline bettors and 11.4 units ATS.

Mariners games have had an over/under record of 41-19-4 so far in 2019. Houston has been a decent under bet with a total record of 26-35-1.

Justin Verlander is getting the start for the Stros. The right-handed Verlander (9-2, 2.27 ERA) has recorded 103 strikeouts in 87.1 innings so far. He’s 1-0 with 11 strikeouts and a 1.50 ERA against Seattle this year.

The Mariners will put the ball in the left hand of Tommy Milone (1-1, 3.60 ERA), who’s got 19 strikeouts and four walks this season as well as a 1.20 WHIP. Milone hasn’t faced the Astros yet this year and did not record a start against them in 2018.

Seattle’s pitching staff has allowed 6.1 runs per game overall in 2019 as a unit. The team’s starters have a 5.33 ERA, 1.39 WHIP and 6.8 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 5.27 ERA, 1.56 WHIP and 9.3 K/9. In 33 games against divisional opponents, Mariners starters have an ERA of 5.41 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.90.

The Seattle hitters are putting up 5.1 runs per outing, including 4.9 per game against divisional foes and 5.4 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .224/.330/.448 over its last five contests and is 1-4 SU during that span.

Domingo Santana has helped lead the Mariners’ offense this season with 11 home runs, 44 RBIs, 30 runs and five steals.

In the other dugout, Houston’s pitching staff allowed 3.7 runs per game and its starters own a 3.67 ERA, 1.06 WHIP and 10.00 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 3.32, along with a K-per-9 of 9.86.

The Astros offense has slashed .271/.349/.478 on its way to 5.2 runs scored per game this season, including 6.1 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (4-1 SU).

Michael Brantley has led Houston’s offense. Brantley is slashing .332/.391/.534 with 10 home runs, 38 RBIs and 30 runs scored.

The Mariners just took the previous game in the series by a final score of 14 runs to one.

Astros at Mariners Free MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Astros, ATS Winner – Astros, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The under has cashed in four of Houston’s last seven games.
  • The Astros have hit nine home runs in their last 10 games, including five over their last five.
  • The Astros have an OPS of .826 this season, including an OPS of .869 when facing left-handed pitchers. The Mariners’ OPS stands at .774 overall and .762 against southpaws.
  • Houston has recorded 20.7 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 22.6 over its last five.