The San Diego Padres will play host to the Washington Nationals at PETCO Park. The first pitch is scheduled for 10:10 p.m. ET and Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will showcase this NL showdown.
Washington Nationals vs. San Diego Padres Odds
Washington (+105) is the underdog to San Diego (-115) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this night game at 7 runs (-120 for the under and +100 for the over). Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the current odds standing at -200 for the Nationals +1.5 runs and +170 for the Padres -1.5.
The Padres are 31-31 straight up (SU) and 27-34 against the spread (ATS). The team has lost 1.4 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 11.9 units ATS. San Diego has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Nationals have gone 28-33 SU this year and are 28-32 ATS. In total, the club has lost 14.9 units for moneyline bettors and 6.1 units ATS. Washington has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in three of those seven.
Padres games have had an over/under record of 29-28-4 thus far in 2019. The Nationals have been a decent over bet with a total record of 31-25-4.
The left-handed Patrick Corbin will get the start for the visiting Nationals. Corbin (5-3, 3.46 ERA) has recorded 83 punchouts in 75.1 innings so far. This is his first outing against San Diego this year. He made three starts against the Padres in 2018, compiling a 1-0 record against them with a 3.18 ERA and 23 strikeouts.
The Padres are turning to Joey Lucchesi (4-3, 3.96 ERA). Lucchesi has 62 punchouts and 15 walks, along with a WHIP of 1.11. Lucchesi is 0-0 with five strikeouts and a 9.00 ERA in one start against Washington this year.
As a unit, San Diego’s pitching staff has given up 4.5 runs per game overall in 2019. Its starters have a 4.08 ERA, 1.17 WHIP and 8.3 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.47 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 10.1 K/9.
San Diego’s hitters are putting up 4.0 runs per outing, including 3.8 per game over its last 10 games and 5.0 per game over their last five. The team has hit .215/.308/.429 over its last five matchups and is 1-4 SU during that stretch.
The Padres’ offense has been led by first baseman Eric Hosmer and third baseman Manny Machado. Hosmer is slashing .284/.333/.449 with 10 home runs, 36 RBIs and 34 runs scored, while Machado is batting .250 with 10 homers, 31 RBIs and 30 runs.
In the other dugout, Washington’s pitching staff allowed 5.0 runs per game and its starters own a 3.80 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 10.16 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 6.68, along with a WHIP of 1.24.
The Nationals offense has slashed .251/.328/.423 on its way to 4.8 runs scored per game this season, including 6.2 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (4-1 SU).
Outfielders Adam Eaton and Juan Soto have paced Washington’s offense. Eaton is hitting .263/.346/.371 with five home runs, 15 RBIs and 35 runs scored, while Soto (.300/.402/.537) has produced 10 homers, 38 RBIs and 35 runs scored.
The Nationals have lost 4.5 units and are 6-8 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has cashed in seven of those games, compared to five that’ve gone under against left-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Padres have lost 1.1 units and are 7-4 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over’s cashed in four of those games, compared to six that went under the total.
Nationals vs. Padres MLB Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Padres, ATS Winner – Nationals, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- The under has hit in just one of San Diego’s last seven games.
- The Nationals have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games, including eight over their last five.
- The Nationals have a total OPS of .751 this season, including an OPS of .855 against left-handed pitchers. The Padres’ OPS stands at .714 overall and .708 against southpaws.
- San Diego has posted 18.6 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 19.0 over its last five.
- The Nationals have won six of their last seven games SU while the Padres have lost four of their last five.
