Brian Anderson and the Miami Marlins will be taking the field versus the Milwaukee Brewers at Miller Park in a Thursday showdown. Fox Sports Net Wisconsin will showcase this NL matchup and the game gets underway at 2:10 p.m. ET.
Miami Marlins at Milwaukee Brewers Odds
Sportsbooks have Miami (+180) as the underdog to Milwaukee (-190). You can play game’s total with current odds sitting at +105 for over 8.5 runs and -125 for under 8.5. There’s a runline of Marlins +1.5 (-125) and Brewers -1.5 (+105) for this matchup.
The Brewers are 34-28 straight up (SU) and 30-31 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 4.7 units for moneyline bettors while gaining 3.0 units ATS. Milwaukee has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven. The Marlins are 23-36 SU and have gone 27-31 against the spread. In total, the team’s lost 1.9 units for moneyline gamblers and 11.4 units ATS. Miami has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the over has cashed in four of those seven.
Brewers games have an over/under record of 26-34-1 so far in 2019. Miami has an over/under record of 26-30-2.
Caleb Smith will get the start for the visiting Marlins. The southpaw Smith is 3-3 with a 3.10 ERA and 80 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Brewers this year and only made one start against them in 2018 (0-1, 3.00 ERA and 10 strikeouts across six innings).
The Brewers will send righty Freddy Peralta (2-2, 5.68 ERA) to the mound. Peralta has 43 punchouts and 13 walks to his credit as well as a 1.58 WHIP. Peralta only made one start against the Marlins in 2018 (0-0, 7.36 ERA and four strikeouts across three and 2-third innings).
Miami’s pitching staff allowed 4.5 runs per game and its starters own a 3.83 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 8.09 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 5.23, along with a K-per-9 of 9.99.
Marlins hitters have slashed .238/.300/.352 on their way to 3.6 runs scored per game in 2019, including 6.9 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 8.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (4-1 SU).
Miami’s hitters have been paced by third baseman Brian Anderson and second baseman Starlin Castro. Anderson is hitting .249/.331/.394 with seven home runs, 27 RBIs and 21 runs scored, while Castro (.234/.269/.316) is up to four homers, 25 RBIs and 19 runs scored.
For the home team, Milwaukee’s pitchers have allowed 5.0 runs per game overall this season. The club’s starting pitching staff has an ERA of 4.66, a WHIP of 1.42 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.4. The bullpen has a 4.58 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 9.9 K/9.
The Milwaukee offense is putting up 5.0 runs per contest, including 5.3 per game over its last 10 games and 4.6 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .230/.298/.428 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that span.
Outfielders Christian Yelich and Lorenzo Cain have led the way for the Brewers’ batters this year. Yelich is slashing .320/.433/.716 with 22 home runs, 49 RBIs, 46 runs and 12 stolen bases, while Cain’s line is .253/.307/.378 with four homers, 24 RBIs and 36 runs.
The Marlins have lost 4.0 units and are 17-24 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 17 of those games, compared to 23 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Brewers have netted 0.5 units and are 9-7 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in five of those games, as opposed to 11 which went under the total.
Marlins vs. Brewers Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Brewers, ATS Winner – Marlins, O/U – UNDER
Betting Notes
- Miami has recorded 23 extra-base hits over its last five contests. Milwaukee has 18 XBH over its last five.
- Miami fielders have four errors over the last 10 games, compared to 11 errors for Milwaukee over its last 10.
- The Marlins have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games, including eight over their last five.
- The Marlins have an OPS of .653 this season and an OPS of .658 against right-handed pitchers. The Brewers’ OPS stands at .777 overall and .775 versus righties.
