Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres Free Pick

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The Philadelphia Phillies will do battle against the San Diego Padres in a Wednesday showdown. This NL matchup will get going at 3:40 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to NBC Sports Philadelphia to catch the game.

Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres Odds

The Phillies have gone 34-27 SU this year and are 30-29 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 3.1 units for gamblers taking the moneyline, despite having lost 1.4 units ATS. The Padres, on the other hand, are 31-30 SU and 26-33 ATS. The team has lost 1.2 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 11.9 units ATS.

Padres games have a 27-28-4 over/under record so far in 2019. The Phillies have an over/under record of 26-31-2.

Right-hander Jake Arrieta is the projected starter for the visiting Phillies. Arrieta is 5-5 with a 3.96 ERA and 62 strikeouts. This is his first start against San Diego this year. He did make two starts against the team in 2018, posting a 0-1 record with a 9.72 ERA and six strikeouts.

The Padres are putting the ball in the hands of Cal Quantrill (1-2, 5.14 ERA), who has 19 strikeouts and seven walks, along with a 1.43 WHIP. Quantrill did not pitch in the majors last season.

San Diego’s pitchers have given up 4.4 runs per game overall in 2019 as a unit. Its starting pitching staff has a 4.09 ERA, 1.17 WHIP and 8.2 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.35 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 10.1 K/9.

San Diego’s offense has put up 4.0 runs per outing, including 5.2 per game over its last 10 games and 5.0 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .222/.300/.451 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that span.

The Padres’ offense has been led by first baseman Eric Hosmer and third baseman Manny Machado. Hosmer is hitting .289/.336/.457 with 10 home runs, 36 RBIs and 33 runs scored, while Machado’s line is .247/.337/.416 with 10 homers, 31 RBIs and 29 runs.

In the visiting dugout, Philadelphia’s pitchers have allowed 4.6 runs per game and its starters own a 4.24 ERA, 1.35 WHIP and 8.17 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.28, along with a WHIP of 1.35.

Phillies hitters have slashed .244/.326/.416 on their way to 4.9 runs scored per game in 2019, including 4.3 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (1-4 SU).

Philadelphia’s hitters have been led by second baseman Cesar Hernandez and first baseman Rhys Hoskins. Hernandez is slashing .283/.339/.448 with six home runs, 28 RBIs and 26 runs scored, while Hoskins (.273/.398/.528) has produced 13 homers, 42 RBIs and 33 runs scored.

The Padres have lost 0.1 units and are 19-29 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in 23 of those games, compared to 22 that’ve gone under.

Phillies at Padres Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Padres, ATS Winner – Phillies, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • The under has hit in only two of San Diego’s last seven games.
  • San Diego has posted 22.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 19.4 over its last five.
  • The Phillies have hit 17 home runs in their last 10 games. The Padres have hit 20 over their last 10.