The Atlanta Braves will face off against the Pittsburgh Pirates in a Wednesday night game. The game gets going at 7:05 p.m. ET and this NL matchup will be shown on ATPT and FSSE.
Atlanta Braves vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Odds
Pittsburgh (receiving +100 odds) is the home-team underdog to Atlanta and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this night game at 9.5 runs. Odds for wagering on the game’s total currently stand at -120 for the under and +100 for the over. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the most recent odds standing at +135 for the Braves -1.5 runs and -155 for the Pirates +1.5.
The Braves have gone 33-27 SU this year and are 29-30 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 0.9 units for moneyline bettors and 0.6 units ATS. Atlanta is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Pirates, on the other hand, are 28-31 SU and 30-28 ATS. The team has gained 3.0 units for moneyline bettors while earning 3.3 units ATS. Pittsburgh has a 3-5 ATS mark over its last seven outings and the total has gone over in five of those seven.
Pittsburgh games have had an over/under record of 33-23-2 thus far in 2019. Braves games have gone over 30 times, gone under 24 times and pushed on five occasions.
Kevin Gausman will get the start for Atlanta. The right-handed Gausman is 2-4 with a 5.56 ERA and 57 strikeouts. This will be his first outing against Pittsburgh this year. He made two starts against the team in 2018, compiling a 1-0 record with a 0.64 ERA and nine strikeouts.
The Pirates are going with righty Joe Musgrove (3-6, 4.57 ERA), who has 51 strikeouts and 19 walks, along with a 1.25 WHIP. Musgrove did not register a start against the Braves in 2018.
Pittsburgh’s pitchers have yielded 5.5 runs per game overall in 2019 as a unit. The team’s starters have a 4.84 ERA, 1.34 WHIP and 8.1 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 5.25 ERA, 1.49 WHIP and 9.9 K/9.
The Pittsburgh hitters are putting up 4.2 runs per contest, including 6.0 per game over its last 10 games and 6.2 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .298/.368/.424 over its last five contests and is 1-4 SU during that stretch.
First baseman Josh Bell and right fielder Starling Marte have paced the Pirates’ offense this year. Bell is hitting .332/.395/.681 with 18 home runs, 53 RBIs and 43 runs scored, and Marte’s line is .274/.316/.447 with seven homers, 25 RBIs, 35 runs and nine steals.
In the other dugout, Atlanta’s pitchers have allowed 4.8 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.25 ERA, 1.31 WHIP and 8.20 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.31, along with a WHIP of 1.31.
Braves hitters have slashed .259/.334/.439 on their way to 5.0 runs scored per game this year, including 5.6 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 7.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).
First baseman Freddie Freeman and outfielder Ronald Acuna Jr. continue to lead Atlanta’s hitters. Freeman is slashing .310/.394/.578 with 15 home runs, 37 RBIs and 43 runs scored, while Acuna Jr. (.281/.367/.465) has produced 11 homers, 34 RBIs, 37 runs and eight stolen bases.
The Braves have lost 3.1 units and are 22-22 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 19 of those games, compared to 21 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Pirates have netted 4.5 units and are 22-21 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in 23 of those games, compared to 18 that went under the total.
Braves at Pirates Free Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Pirates, ATS Winner – Pirates, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- Atlanta has tallied 20 extra-base hits over its last five games. Pittsburgh has 16 XBH over its last five.
- The Braves have a team OPS of .774 this season and an OPS of .751 against right-handed pitchers. The Pirates’ OPS stands at .716 overall and .726 against righties.
- The Pirates have dropped four of their last five games SU.
- Atlanta has posted 23.8 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 24.6 over its last five.
- The Braves have hit 14 home runs in their last 10 games, including eight over their last five.
