The Cleveland Indians are set to host their division rival Minnesota Twins at Progressive Field. Fox Sports North will be televising the action and the game will get underway at 7:10 p.m. ET.
Minnesota Twins at Cleveland Indians Odds
Minnesota (+125) is coming into this one as the underdog to Cleveland (-135) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this night game at 9 runs (+105 for the over and -125 for the under). Gamblers can also bet on the game’s runline with the odds sitting at Twins +1.5 runs (-170) and Indians -1.5 runs (+150).
The Twins are 40-19 SU and have gone 36-22 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 22.4 units for moneyline gamblers and 12.4 units ATS. Minnesota’s covered the spread six times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in three of those seven. The Indians, on the other hand, are 30-30 SU and 26-33 ATS. The team’s lost 10.5 units for moneyline bettors and 8.8 units ATS. Cleveland has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven outings and the over has cashed in four of those seven.
Indians games have an over/under record of 24-34-1 so far in 2019. The Twins have an over/under record of 29-26-3.
Martin Perez will get the nod for Minnesota. The southpaw Perez is 7-2 with a 3.71 ERA and 59 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with six strikeouts and a 7.36 ERA against Cleveland this year.
The Indians will put the ball in the right hand of Carlos Carrasco (4-6, 4.98 ERA), who has 79 strikeouts and 11 walks as well as a 1.31 WHIP. Carrasco is 0-1 with four strikeouts and a 12.46 ERA in one start against Minnesota this year.
As a unit, Cleveland’s pitching staff has given up 4.2 runs per game overall this year. The team’s starters have an ERA of 4.28, a WHIP of 1.25 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 10.0. The bullpen has a 3.24 ERA, 1.20 WHIP and 9.0 K/9. In 22 games against AL Central opponents, Indians starters have an ERA of 4.45 and the bullpen’s ERA is 2.67.
The Cleveland offense has put up 4.0 runs per outing, including 3.3 per game against divisional foes and 3.0 per game over its last five. The team has hit .217/.276/.414 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that span.
First baseman Carlos Santana and shortstop Francisco Lindor have led the way for the Indians’ batters this year. Santana is hitting .286/.402/.505 with 11 home runs, 37 RBIs and 34 runs scored, and Lindor is hitting .306 with 10 homers, 23 RBIs, 26 runs and six stolen bases.
In the other dugout, Minnesota’s pitchers have allowed 4.1 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.55 ERA, 1.16 WHIP and 8.33 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.56, along with a K/9 of 9.81.
The Twins offense has slashed .273/.343/.509 on its way to 5.9 runs scored per game in 2019, including 5.5 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).
Minnesota’s hitters have been paced by shortstop Jorge Polanco and outfielder Eddie Rosario, who have already combined to drive in 80 runs. Polanco is hitting .336/.402/.578 with nine home runs, 30 RBIs and 38 runs scored, while Rosario is hitting .276/.310/.548 with 18 homers, 50 RBIs and 41 runs scored.
The Twins have gained 23.3 units and are 29-17 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 22 of those games, compared to 22 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Indians have lost 2.1 units and are 7-9 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over’s cashed in eight of those games, compared to eight that went under the total.
Twins vs. Indians MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Indians, ATS Winner – Twins, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- The under has cashed in three of Minnesota’s last seven games.
- Both teams have launched 13 home runs over their last 10 games.
- The Twins have a team OPS of .852 this season and an OPS of .850 against right-handed pitchers. The Indians’ OPS stands at .687 overall and .698 versus righties.
- Minnesota has recorded 25.0 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 23.8 over its last five.
