The streaking St. Louis Cardinals will go for their fifth win in a row when they play host to the Cincinnati Reds at Busch Stadium. Fox Sports Ohio will be airing the matchup and the game gets underway at 8:15 p.m. ET.
Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals Odds
St. Louis (+115) is the home-team underdog against Cincinnati (-125) and oddsmakers have the Over/Under for this night game at 9 runs. The odds for betting on the game’s total now stand at -105 for the over and -115 for the under. The game’s most recent runline odds stand at +120 for picking the Reds -1.5 runs and -140 for the Cardinals +1.5.
The Reds have gone 27-32 SU this year and are 33-26 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 3.9 units for moneyline gamblers, despite having gained 4.0 units ATS. The Cardinals, on the other hand, are 30-28 SU and 31-27 ATS. They’ve lost 4.3 units for moneyline bettors while gaining 4.7 units ATS.
St. Louis games have had an over/under record of 27-27-4 thus far in 2019. Reds games have gone under 34 times, gone over 23 times and pushed on two occasions.
Luis Castillo will get the start for the visiting Reds. The right-handed Castillo (5-1, 2.45 ERA) has recorded 82 punchouts in 69.2 innings so far. He has yet to face St. Louis this year, but he did make five starts against the Cardinals in 2018, posting a 1-2 record against them with a 3.54 ERA and 31 strikeouts.
The Cardinals will put the ball in the left hand of Genesis Cabrera (0-1, 7.36 ERA, 1.91 WHIP), who has five punchouts and two walks this season. Cabrera did not record any MLB pitching stats last season.
St. Louis’ pitching staff has given up 4.6 runs per game overall this season as a unit. Its starters have an ERA of 4.35, a WHIP of 1.37 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.0. The bullpen has a 4.27 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 10.4 K/9. In 27 divisional games, Cardinals starters have an ERA of 4.68 and the bullpen’s ERA is 5.30.
The St. Louis hitters are putting up 4.9 runs per outing, including 5.1 per game against divisional foes and 4.0 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .244/.301/.425 over its last five contests and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.
The Cardinals’ batters have been led by Paul Goldschmidt, who is hitting .275/.361/.455 with 12 home runs, 27 RBIs and 37 runs scored.
In the visiting dugout, Cincinnati’s pitchers have allowed 3.8 runs per game and its starters own a 3.70 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 9.85 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.69, along with a WHIP of 1.25 and a K/9 of 9.70.
The Reds offense has slashed .234/.306/.409 on its way to 4.4 runs scored per game in 2019, including 4.6 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).
Cincinnati’s offense has been paced by Eugenio Suarez. Suarez is slashing .280/.358/.540 with 14 home runs, 40 RBIs and 32 runs scored.
The Reds just lost a 4-1 game to the Nationals, while the Cardinals are coming off of a 2-1 win against the Cubs.
Reds at Cardinals MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Reds, ATS Winner – Reds, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- The over has cashed in three of Cincinnati’s last seven outings.
- Both teams have launched 16 home runs over their last 10 games.
- The Reds have a total OPS of .716 this season and an OPS of .718 when facing left-handed pitchers. The Cardinals’ OPS sits at .747 overall and .761 against lefties.
- St. Louis has posted 19.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 19.6 over its last five.
- The Reds have lost three of their last four games SU.
