The Miami Marlins will head north to face the Milwaukee Brewers at Miller Park. Fox Sports Net Wisconsin will be airing this NL matchup and the opening pitch will be at 7:40 p.m. ET.
Miami Marlins at Milwaukee Brewers Odds
Miami (+165) is entering this game as the underdog against Milwaukee (-175) and Vegas has the Over/Under for this game at 9.5 runs (-105 for the over and -115 for the under). The game’s most recent runline odds sit at -135 for picking the Marlins +1.5 runs and +115 for the Brewers -1.5.
The Marlins have gone just 21-36 SU this year and are 26-31 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 3.8 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 12.4 units ATS. The Brewers, on the other hand, are 34-26 SU and 30-30 ATS. They’ve gained 6.7 units for moneyline bettors while earning 1.9 units ATS.
Brewers games have an over/under record of 25-34-1 so far in 2019. The Marlins have an over/under record of 25-30-2.
Pablo Lopez will get the start for the visiting Marlins. The right-handed Lopez is 3-5 with a 4.99 ERA and 55 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Brewers this year and only made one start against them in 2018 (0-1, 7.50 ERA and six strikeouts over six innings).
The Brewers are handing the ball to righty Chase Anderson (3-0, 3.31 ERA), who’s got 34 strikeouts and 14 walks, along with a 1.35 WHIP. Anderson made two starts against the team in 2018, posting a 1-0 record in 2018, compiling a 1-0 record with a 2.70 ERA and seven strikeouts.
Milwaukee’s pitching staff has given up 4.8 runs per game overall in 2019 as a unit. Its starters have a 4.53 ERA, 1.40 WHIP and 8.4 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.35 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 9.9 K/9.
The Milwaukee offense is putting up 5.1 runs per outing, including 6.5 per game over its last 10 games and 6.8 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .275/.338/.585 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.
The Brewers’ offense has been led by outfielders Christian Yelich and Lorenzo Cain. Yelich is hitting .313/.425/.719 with 22 home runs, 49 RBIs, 46 runs and 12 stolen bases, and Cain’s line is .256/.311/.385 with four homers, 24 RBIs, 36 runs and five steals.
In the visiting dugout, Miami’s pitching staff allowed 4.6 runs per game and its starters own a 3.96 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 8.08 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 5.27, along with a K-per-9 of 9.97.
Marlins hitters have slashed .233/.295/.341 on their way to 3.3 runs scored per game this year, including 5.5 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).
Third baseman Brian Anderson and second baseman Starlin Castro have led Miami’s offense. Anderson is hitting .241/.321/.358 with five home runs, 21 RBIs and 16 runs scored. Castro is hitting .230/.268/.297 with three homers, 20 RBIs and 17 runs scored.
The Marlins have lost 5.8 units and are 16-24 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 16 of those games, compared to 23 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Brewers have netted 6.2 units and are 21-23 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s cashed in 20 of those games, compared to 23 that’ve gone under.
Marlins vs. Brewers Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Brewers, ATS Winner – Marlins, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- The under has hit in three of Miami’s last seven games.
- The Marlins have an OPS of .637 this season and an OPS of .637 against right-handed pitchers. The Brewers’ OPS stands at .783 overall and .786 against righties.
- Miami has recorded 25.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 23.4 over its last five.
- The Marlins have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games. The Brewers have hit 26 over their last 10.
