Milwaukee Brewers at St. Louis Cardinals Free Preview

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Christian Yelich and the slumping Milwaukee Brewers will be hitting the diamond versus their division rival St. Louis Cardinals at Busch Stadium in a Tuesday night game. Fox Sports Midwest will showcase the matchup. The game is slated to get going at 7:45 p.m. ET.

Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals Odds

Las Vegas has St. Louis (-120) as the favorite over Milwaukee (+110). The total currently stands at 8.5 runs and gamblers can play the over for even money (+100) or the under for -120. This game currently has a runline of Brewers +1.5 (-190) and Cardinals -1.5 (+165).

The Brewers are 13-11 SU and are 10-13 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 2.5 units for gamblers taking the moneyline in this young season, despite having lost 3.0 units ATS. Milwaukee’s covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The Cardinals, on the other hand, are 13-9 SU and 13-8 ATS. The team has gained 2.2 units for moneyline bettors and 4.3 units ATS. St. Louis has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the over has cashed in five of those seven.

St. Louis games have an over/under record of 13-6-2 thus far in 2019. Milwaukee has an over/under record of 9-13-1.

The right-handed Zach Davies is projected to start for Milwaukee. Davies (2-0, 1.19 ERA) has racked up 15 strikeouts in 22.2 innings so far. He has yet to face St. Louis this year, but he made two starts against the Cardinals in 2018, posting a 0-2 record against them with a 9.28 ERA and 10 strikeouts.

The Cardinals are giving Daniel Ponce de Leon a chance to show what he’s got. This game represents the first MLB start of the season for the right-handed Ponce de Leon.

Milwaukee’s pitching staff allowed 5.3 runs per game and its starters own a 5.81 ERA, 1.53 WHIP and 9.41 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.82, along with a K-per-9 of 9.35.

The Brewers offense has slashed .249/.330/.469 on its way to 4.9 runs scored per game in 2019, including 5.6 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).

Outfielders Christian Yelich and Lorenzo Cain have led Milwaukee’s hitters. Yelich is slashing .337/.439/.820 with 13 home runs, 31 RBIs and 23 runs scored, while Cain is hitting .286 with three homers, six RBIs and 17 runs scored.

In the home-team dugout, St. Louis’ pitching staff has allowed 4.5 runs per game overall in 2019. Its starting pitching staff has a 5.11 ERA, 1.51 WHIP and 8.8 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.32 ERA, 1.12 WHIP and 9.9 K/9. In 12 games against NL Central opponents, Cardinals starters have an ERA of 6.52 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.83.

St. Louis’ offense is putting up 5.8 runs per outing, including 5.9 per game against divisional foes and 7.8 per game over its last five. The team has hit .341/.410/.525 over its last five games and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.

Shortstop Paul DeJong and first baseman Paul Goldschmidt have led the Cardinals’ hitters so far. DeJong is hitting .330/.390/.593 with four home runs, 11 RBIs and 20 runs scored, while Goldschmidt’s line is .270/.363/.596 with nine homers, 18 RBIs and 18 runs.

The Brewers have gained 0.9 units and are 5-11 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in five of those games, compared to 10 that’ve gone under against righties. On the other hand, the Cardinals have netted 3.5 units and are 11-6 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 12 of those games, as opposed to four which went under the total.

Brewers at Cardinals MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Cardinals, ATS Winner – Brewers, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • Milwaukee has recorded 15 extra-base hits over its last five contests. St. Louis has 19 XBH over its last five.
  • The Brewers have dropped five of their last six games SU.
  • The Milwaukee defense has coughed up zero errors over the last 10 games, compared to five errors for St. Louis over its last 10.
  • The Brewers have hit 22 home runs in their last 10 games, including 12 over their last five.
  • The Brewers have a team OPS of .798 this season and an OPS of .780 when facing right-handed pitchers. The Cardinals’ OPS sits at .817 overall and .842 against righties.