The No. 10 Florida Gators (20-15), 7.5-point underdogs, take on the No. 2 Michigan Wolverines (29-6) in the Second Round of the NCAA Tournament at Wells Fargo Arena. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 121 points and action starts at 5:15 p.m. ET on Saturday, March 23, 2019.
Florida Gators vs. Michigan Wolverines ATS Odds
Both teams were victorious in their last game. The Wolverines had no trouble getting past the No. 15 Montana Grizzlies 74-55, while the Gators defeated the No. 7 Nevada Wolf Pack 70-61.
The Gators held the Wolf Pack to an effective field goal percentage of 0.391 (below their season average of 0.541). The Wolf Pack also had a turnover percentage of 17.5 (above their season average of 12.9). Meanwhile, Michigan dominated nearly every facet of their game. They had a phenomenal free throw rate of 0.373 (above their season average of 0.189) and an effective field goal percentage of 0.539 (above their season average of 0.521). For those same stats, Montana recorded marks of 0.150 and 0.383, respectively. Charles Matthews played well for Michigan with 22 points and 10 rebounds. Meanwhile, Florida was lifted by Keyontae Johnson, who finished with 10 points and 10 rebounds.
Of the Gators’ 35 games, 24 have finished under the total. Florida holds records of 20-15 straight up (SU) and 16-18-1 against the spread (ATS).
Games featuring the Wolverines also tend to go under the total (60.0 percent). Moreover, Michigan is 29-6 SU and 20-15 ATS.
Points could be at a premium as a pair of the NCAA’s best defenses square off. Michigan currently ranks second in defensive efficiency (89.9) and Florida is 54th (97.8).
Florida Gators vs. Michigan Wolverines ATS Pick
Basketball Pick: SU Winner – Florida, ATS Winner – Florida, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- Michigan ranks second in steals allowed per game (3.8) while Florida ranks 126th (6.2).
- The Gators rank 95th in blocks per game (3.7) while the Wolverines rank 128th in blocks allowed per game (3.3).
- Michigan ranks 11th in assists allowed per game (10.1) while Florida ranks 29th (10.7).
- The Wolverines rank 181st in rebounds per game (35.0) while the Gators rank 248th (33.4).
- Michigan ranks first in three pointers allowed per game (16.5) while Florida ranks 62nd (20.3).
Bettings Trends:
- The Wolverines’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 10.0, down from 12.0 for the season.
- During their last five games, the Gators have scored an average of 66.2 points per game (2.1 below their season average) and allowed an average of 63.0 points per game (0.6 below their season average).
