The 25th-ranked Indiana Hoosiers (18-15) will be 6-point favorites in the NIT at Assembly Hall when they take on the Arkansas Razorbacks (18-15). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 149 points and it will air on ESPN at 12 p.m. ET on Saturday, March 23, 2019.
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Indiana Hoosiers ATS Odds
Both teams covered in their last game. The Hoosiers (16-point favorites) defeated the Saint Francis U Red Flash 89-72, while the Razorbacks (7-point underdog) beat the Providence Friars 84-72. Both games finished over their projected point totals. The Indiana game went 9.5 points over the projected point total of 151.5, while the Arkansas game finished 12 points over the projected point total of 144.
Arkansas’ 0.596 effective field goal percentage was their biggest strength over Providence, who had a rate of 0.411. The Razorbacks’ mark was above their season average of 0.510, while the Friars’ was below their season average of 0.482. Indiana, on the other hand, dominated nearly every stat category in their game. They had a phenomenally low turnover percentage of 8.2 (better than their season average of 16.1) and an effective field goal percentage of 0.559 (above their season average of 0.512). For those same stats, Saint Francis U had marks of 14.1 and 0.438, respectively. Juwan Morgan led the way for Indiana, finishing with 28 points and eight rebounds. Meanwhile, Reggie Chaney played a pivotal role for Arkansas with 14 points, seven blocks and five rebounds.
Games involving the Razorbacks have typically finished under the total (66.7 percent). Arkansas comes into the game with records of 18-15 straight up (SU) and 15-18 against the spread (ATS).
Just over half of Hoosiers games have also finished under the total. Further, Indiana owns records of 18-15 SU and 16-17 ATS.
It could be a sloppy game for the Indiana offense. Indiana ranks 144th in the NCAA in ball protection (turnover percentage of 18.1 percent), while the ball-hawking defense of Arkansas forces the 17th-most turnovers in the NCAA (23.0 percent).
Arkansas at Indiana Betting Pick
Free College Basketball Pick: SU Winner – Arkansas, ATS Winner – Arkansas, O/U – Under
Betting Notes:
- Arkansas averages 16.1 assists per game, which ranks 21st in the country. Indiana ranks 184th in assists allowed per game (13.5).
- The Razorbacks rank 19th in steals per game (8.2) while the Hoosiers rank 127th (6.5).
- Arkansas ranks 179th in three pointers attempted per game (22.0) while Indiana ranks 270th (19.3).
- The Hoosiers rank 117th in rebounds per game (36.3) while the Razorbacks rank 276th in rebounds allowed per game (38.2).
- Arkansas ranks 12th in blocks per game (5.0) while Indiana ranks 167th in blocks allowed per game (3.6).
- Indiana is 10-9 ATS at home, while Arkansas is 8-7 ATS on the road.
- The total has gone under in 11 of the Hoosiers’ 19 home games, while 10 of the Razorbacks’ 15 road games have gone under.
Bettings Trends:
- The Hoosiers are 4-1 ATS over their last five games, while the Razorbacks are 3-2.
- In their last five games, Indiana has 4 overs and 1 under, while Arkansas has 3 unders and 2 overs.
- During their last five games, the Hoosiers have scored an average of 81.6 points per game (9.5 above their season average) and allowed an average of 72.0 points per game (4.1 above their season average).
- The Razorbacks’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 9.0, up from 3.2 for the season.
