The Charlotte Hornets (31-37) will be at AmericanAirlines Arena to challenge the Miami Heat (32-36) in a Southeast Division matchup. The game will air on Fox Sports Carolina at 1 p.m. ET on Sunday, March 17, 2019.
Charlotte Hornets at Miami Heat ATS Odds
The last time the Hornets played, they were victorious over the Washington Wizards, 116-110, despite being 2.5-point underdogs. The Heat, on the other hand, were topped by the Milwaukee Bucks, 113-98, and failed to cover as 5-point underdogs. The Charlotte game finished 7 points under the projected point total of 233, while the Miami game finished 9.5 points under the projected point total of 220.5.
The Hornets forced 17 turnovers and had an offensive rebounding percentage of 28.8 (above their season average of 22.0). Miami, meanwhile, had a better turnover percentage (10.3 vs. 13.2). Miami received a boost from Hassan Whiteside, who finished with 14 points and 11 rebounds. Kemba Walker, meanwhile was a key piece for Charlotte with 28 points and five rebounds.
In the season series between these two teams, the Hornets lead two games to one. In their most recent game, the two teams combined for 175 points, well under the projected point total of 215. Charlotte lost 91-84, covering as a 4-point favorite. Miami won the rebounding battle. The Heat had 17 offensive rebounds and 51 total rebounds, while the Hornets had 10 and 40, respectively. Whiteside put up a double-double in the victory with 18 points and 15 rebounds.
Miami could have trouble getting to the foul line in this meeting. The Heat rank 28th in the league with a free throw attempt (FTA) rate of 0.175, while Charlotte ranks third in FTA rate allowed (0.183).
Charlotte Hornets at Miami Heat Pick
Pick: SU Winner – Hornets, ATS Winner – Hornets, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- The Hornets rank 23rd in fast break points per game (11.1) while the Heat rank 29th (9.7).
- Charlotte ranks first in points off turnovers allowed per game (14.1) while Miami ranks 24th (17.7).
- The Heat rank third in rebounds allowed per game (43.2) while the Hornets rank 21st (45.6).
- Miami ranks second in points allowed in the paint per game (42.3) while Charlotte ranks 17th (49.2).
- Miami ranks sixth in second chance points per game (14.4) while Charlotte ranks 18th in second chance points allowed per game (13.7).
- The Heat average 5.5 blocks per game, which ranks sixth in the NBA. The Hornets rank 28th in blocks allowed per game (6.1).
- The Heat rank 13th in three pointers attempted per game (32.1) while the Hornets rank 25th in three pointers allowed per game (33.4).
- Miami ranks fourth in assists allowed per game (23.1) while Charlotte ranks 25th (25.7).
- In games where they hold opponents under 100 points, Miami is 18-3 and Charlotte is 10-3.
- In games where they score more than 100 points, the Hornets are 30-26 and the Heat are 29-19.
- Miami is 14-21-1 ATS at home, while Charlotte is 14-19 ATS on the road.
- The total has gone over in 20 of the Hornets’ 33 road games, while 20 of the Heat’s 36 home games have gone over.
Bettings Trends:
- In their last five games, Charlotte and Miami have both had 3 unders and 2 overs.
- The Heat are 3-2 ATS over their last five games, while the Hornets are 1-4.
- During their last five games, the Heat have scored an average of 105.4 points per game (0.5 below their season average) and allowed an average of 101.2 points per game (5.0 below their season average).
- The Hornets’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 5.8, up from 0.9 for the season.
