Orlando Magic at Memphis Grizzlies Free Prediction 03/10/19

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It will be a clash between two stifling defenses when the Memphis Grizzlies (27-40), 1.5-point underdogs, challenge the Orlando Magic (31-36) at FedExForum. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 207.5 points and it will air on Fox Sports – Southeast at 6 p.m. ET on Sunday, March 10, 2019.

Orlando Magic at Memphis Grizzlies Betting Odds

The Grizzlies will look to keep it rolling after defeating the Utah Jazz in their last matchup, 114-104, as 4.5-point underdogs. The Magic, on the other hand, beat the Dallas Mavericks, 111-106, but failed to cover as 6.5-point favorites. Both games finished over their projected point totals. The Memphis game went 11 points over the projected point total of 207, while the Orlando game went 3 points over the projected point total of 214.

Orlando dominated nearly every facet of the game. They had an offensive rebounding percentage of 25.6 (above their season average of 20.9) and a free throw rate of 0.149 (below their season average of 0.166). For those same stats, Dallas was 21.3 and 0.135, respectively. Meanwhile, Memphis’ 9.4 turnover percentage was their largest strength over Utah, who had a rate of 11.5. The Grizzlies’ mark was better than their season average of 12.6. Memphis was led by Mike Conley, who finished with 28 points and 11 assists. Meanwhile, Nikola Vucevic had a good game for Orlando, putting up 20 points, 13 rebounds and six assists.

The Magic dominated this series last year, taking both contests. In the last matchup, Orlando won 107-100. Orlando made good use of their 33 trips to the charity stripe, making 27 of them (81.8 percent). Memphis, on the other hand, was just 18-26 (69.2 percent). This will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams.

Vegas is known to set the total high when the Magic are involved, as 55.2 percent of their games have ended under the projected point total. Orlando holds records of 31-36 straight up (SU) and 34-30-3 against the spread (ATS).

Coinciding with Orlando, games involving the Grizzlies also tend to finish under the O/U total (59.7 percent). Moreover, Memphis owns records of 27-40 SU and 31-35-1 ATS.

Half-court execution will be of utmost importance when two of the NBA’s slowest-paced teams clash. Memphis ranks 30th in possessions per game (98.2) and Orlando is 28th (100.2).

Orlando Magic at Memphis Grizzlies Free Pick

NBA Pick: SU Winner – Grizzlies, ATS Winner – Grizzlies, O/U – Under

Betting Notes:

  • The Magic rank sixth in blocks per game (5.6) while the Grizzlies rank 11th in blocks allowed per game (4.8).
  • Memphis ranks eighth in steals per game (8.4) while Orlando ranks 28th (6.4).
  • The Magic rank 15th in three pointers attempted per game (31.5) while the Grizzlies rank 26th (27.6).
  • Orlando ranks 21st in rebounds per game (44.6) while Memphis ranks 29th (40.9).
  • Orlando ranks 22nd in second chance points per game (12.4) while Memphis ranks 28th (10.4).
  • The Grizzlies rank ninth in points off turnovers per game (17.7) while the Magic rank 27th (14.9).
  • The Grizzlies rank 21st in points in the paint per game (46.3) while the Magic rank 28th (42.8).
  • Memphis is second in the NBA with 22.8 assists allowed per game while Orlando is fifth with 23.1 assists allowed per game.
  • Orlando ranks 10th in fast break points allowed per game (12.8) while Memphis ranks 27th (16.0).
  • Memphis is 14-7 when they allow less than 100 points, while Orlando is 14-3.
  • When reaching the century mark, the Grizzlies are 18-16 and the Magic are 27-18.
  • Memphis is 18-16 ATS at home, while Orlando is 19-14-2 ATS on the road.
  • The total has gone under in 18 of the Grizzlies’ 34 home games, while 22 of the Magic’s 35 road games have gone under.

Bettings Trends:

  • In their last five games, Orlando and Memphis have both had 3 unders and 2 overs.
  • The Grizzlies are 4-1 ATS over their last five games, while the Magic are 2-3.
  • The Grizzlies have outscored opponents by an average of 8.6 points in their last five games. For the season, Memphis has lost by an average of 2.3 points.
  • During their last five games, the Magic have scored an average of 106.0 points per game (0.1 above their season average) and allowed an average of 107.0 points per game (0.2 above their season average).